SHEL
Shell plc Energy - Oil & Gas Investor Relations →
Shell plc (SHEL) closed at $75.29 as of 2026-02-02, trading 25.0% above its 200-week moving average of $60.25. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 28.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2138 weeks of data, SHEL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SHEL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.9%.
With a market cap of $215.5 billion, SHEL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 10.2%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 20.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SHEL would have grown to $1615, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. SHEL has returned 8.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: SHEL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SHEL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying SHEL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.7% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +5.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +23.5% vs +17.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SHEL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SHEL has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +12.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1985 | Mar 1985 | 1 | 3.2% | +41.1% | +19556.6% |
| Oct 1985 | Nov 1985 | 1 | 7.8% | +107.3% | +19191.3% |
| Jan 1999 | Feb 1999 | 1 | 3.0% | +38.6% | +551.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Mar 2002 | 24 | 17.6% | -5.1% | +451.6% |
| Apr 2002 | Apr 2002 | 4 | 4.3% | -17.8% | +358.7% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 2 | 3.6% | -1.3% | +367.5% |
| Jul 2002 | Dec 2003 | 74 | 25.3% | -2.7% | +389.5% |
| Jan 2004 | Feb 2004 | 5 | 3.3% | +24.2% | +377.9% |
| Mar 2004 | Mar 2004 | 2 | 3.1% | +41.9% | +377.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 58 | 32.7% | -5.3% | +194.2% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.0% | +15.8% | +191.0% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 2 | 2.2% | +16.0% | +187.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 10 | 8.8% | +26.5% | +196.0% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 19 | 13.6% | +39.9% | +210.1% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 1 | 2.0% | -23.8% | +111.7% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 3.7% | -23.8% | +114.7% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 8 | 9.1% | -15.7% | +113.1% |
| May 2015 | Dec 2016 | 82 | 34.1% | -15.0% | +109.4% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 3.3% | +30.7% | +119.6% |
| Jan 2020 | Oct 2021 | 88 | 52.0% | -25.7% | +82.7% |
| Oct 2021 | Jan 2022 | 10 | 7.5% | +25.9% | +92.0% |
| Average | 19 | — | +12.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02