SFL

SFL Corporation Industrials Investor Relations →

NO
22.4% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 30.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $8.83
14-Week RSI 61
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.92

SFL Corporation (SFL) closed at $10.81 as of 2026-06-19, trading 22.4% above its 200-week moving average of $8.83. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.92 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1100 weeks of data, SFL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SFL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.1%.

With a market cap of $1438 million, SFL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.3%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.1%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Share count has increased 4.8% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 21.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SFL would have grown to $416, compared to $923 for the S&P 500. SFL has returned 7.0% annualized vs 11.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: SFL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After SFL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying SFL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.2% after 12 months (median +22.0%), compared to +16.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.8% vs +33.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SFL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SFL would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.02σ
Current FCF Yield 12.88%
Baseline Yield 13.16%
Historical σ 2.35pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where SFL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-05-12.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$9.30Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$11.01Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$13.47Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$17.37Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$24.42Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from SFL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

2 stacked signals: buyback, value_vs_history
Yield Dislocation -1.76σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.41σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.14σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -2.5pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +19.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-69.3pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

SFL has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +25.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 2005May 200511.0%+0.4%+346.5%
Aug 2005Aug 200511.5%+19.9%+346.0%
Oct 2005Oct 200511.6%+20.6%+342.4%
Dec 2005Jan 200635.4%+49.4%+348.2%
Mar 2006Jun 2006154.9%+71.4%+335.9%
Sep 2008Mar 20107474.0%-24.1%+237.9%
Aug 2011Mar 20123233.9%+34.7%+271.2%
Apr 2012May 201235.4%+46.6%+233.5%
Dec 2014Dec 201411.7%+25.5%+146.2%
Jan 2016Feb 2016713.4%+29.2%+118.3%
Oct 2016Nov 201636.4%+31.0%+109.4%
Jun 2017Jun 201711.1%+29.1%+97.2%
Dec 2018Jan 201978.4%+35.4%+81.8%
Mar 2020Feb 202210139.2%-18.6%+71.9%
Mar 2025Jun 20251616.0%+26.3%+43.5%
Aug 2025Jan 20262320.2%N/A+35.4%
Average18+25.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SFL below its 200-week moving average?

No. SFL Corporation (SFL) is currently 22.4% above its 200-week moving average of $8.83. It would need to fall to $8.83 to cross below the line.

What is SFL's 200-week moving average price?

SFL Corporation's 200-week moving average is $8.83 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when SFL drops below its 200-week moving average?

SFL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.

Is SFL a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about SFL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 13.3%. Return on equity is 3.1%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does SFL compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 21.2 years, $100 invested in SFL would have grown to $416, compared to $923 for the S&P 500. That's 7.0% annualized vs 11.1% for the index. SFL has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does SFL pay a dividend?

Yes. SFL Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 781.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19