SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. Industrials - Dry Bulk Shipping Investor Relations →
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) closed at $28.75 as of 2026-07-31, trading 57.7% above its 200-week moving average of $18.23. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 55.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 925 weeks of data, SBLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 88 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SBLK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.9%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, SBLK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 5.8%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
Share count has increased 10.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SBLK would have grown to $41, compared to $1146 for the S&P 500. SBLK has returned -4.9% annualized vs 14.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -34.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SBLK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SBLK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying SBLK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.5% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +17.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +51.0% vs +35.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SBLK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices SBLK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where SBLK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $22.91 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $24.68 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $26.74 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $29.17 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $32.09 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from SBLK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
SBLK has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +8.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2008 | Jun 2018 | 500 | 94.6% | +12.5% | -69.2% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 2.0% | -25.0% | +309.3% |
| Nov 2018 | Dec 2018 | 7 | 14.2% | +8.1% | +469.0% |
| Jan 2019 | Jun 2019 | 22 | 28.1% | +5.7% | +500.2% |
| Jan 2020 | Jan 2021 | 49 | 52.9% | +31.8% | +546.8% |
| Nov 2024 | Jun 2025 | 31 | 24.2% | +20.5% | +81.2% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 5.6% | N/A | +78.2% |
| Average | 88 | — | +8.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBLK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) is currently 57.7% above its 200-week moving average of $18.23. It would need to fall to $18.23 to cross below the line.
What is SBLK's 200-week moving average price?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $18.23 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SBLK drops below its 200-week moving average?
SBLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 88 weeks on average.
Is SBLK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SBLK as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 5.8%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SBLK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.8 years, $100 invested in SBLK would have grown to $41, compared to $1146 for the S&P 500. That's -4.9% annualized vs 14.7% for the index. SBLK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SBLK pay a dividend?
Yes. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 353.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31