SAN

Banco Santander S.A. Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →

NO
115.2% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 127.0% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $6.65
14-Week RSI 68
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 0.7x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.81

Banco Santander S.A. (SAN) closed at $14.31 as of 2026-09-18, trading 115.2% above its 200-week moving average of $6.65. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 127.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1994 weeks of data, SAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $207.6 billion, SAN is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 13.1%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.6% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SAN would have grown to $2617, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. SAN has returned 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: SAN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After SAN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 23 historical episodes, buying SAN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.7% after 12 months (median +1.0%), compared to +8.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +7.0% vs +22.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SAN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from SAN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -1.72σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -2.46σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -2.81σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +1.4pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+27.7pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

SAN has crossed below its 200-week MA 30 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1989Jul 1989118.6%-4.9%+2159.8%
Aug 1989Sep 198962.3%-6.3%+2127.4%
Oct 1989Dec 1989103.3%-9.8%+2090.7%
Jan 1990Jul 19902631.8%-11.0%+2121.9%
Jul 1990Nov 19901523.9%-0.7%+2186.2%
Nov 1990Dec 199014.5%-10.1%+2257.9%
Dec 1990Jan 199169.7%-13.5%+2283.2%
Jun 1991May 19924618.9%+4.4%+2322.6%
Jun 1992Jun 199212.4%+6.7%+2219.9%
Jul 1992Apr 19934026.2%+3.3%+2368.3%
Jul 1993Jul 199310.3%+8.5%+2288.4%
May 1994Jul 199466.5%+13.4%+2312.6%
Jan 1995Jan 199522.1%+43.2%+2171.1%
Feb 1995Apr 199569.7%+44.1%+2184.2%
Nov 2000Dec 200022.1%-0.8%+516.3%
Mar 2001Apr 200168.9%-4.4%+493.6%
May 2001Jun 200310543.9%+0.7%+479.2%
Oct 2008Jul 20094162.4%+39.3%+212.0%
Feb 2010Mar 201046.7%+1.4%+176.5%
Mar 2010Mar 201021.9%-8.1%+160.0%
Apr 2010Oct 20102533.5%-5.3%+162.3%
Oct 2010Jan 201311543.3%-23.7%+161.8%
Jan 2013Sep 20133220.0%+16.2%+214.2%
Jan 2015Jan 201510.3%-35.1%+211.4%
Jan 2015Feb 201512.8%-34.0%+220.3%
Mar 2015Mar 201511.4%-23.2%+216.5%
Aug 2015Apr 20178941.4%-31.7%+215.1%
May 2018May 202115660.3%-18.1%+231.4%
Jun 2021Jan 20223320.7%-25.9%+329.9%
Feb 2022Jan 20234531.7%+8.0%+371.6%
Average28+-2.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SAN below its 200-week moving average?

No. Banco Santander S.A. (SAN) is currently 115.2% above its 200-week moving average of $6.65. It would need to fall to $6.65 to cross below the line.

What is SAN's 200-week moving average price?

Banco Santander S.A.'s 200-week moving average is $6.65 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when SAN drops below its 200-week moving average?

SAN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 30 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -2.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.

Is SAN a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about SAN as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Return on equity is 13.1%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does SAN compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in SAN would have grown to $2617, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. SAN has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does SAN pay a dividend?

Yes. Banco Santander S.A. currently pays a dividend yield of 194.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18