SAIC
Science Applications International Corp. Technology - Defense IT Investor Relations →
Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC) closed at $95.91 as of 2026-05-01, trading 12.0% below its 200-week moving average of $109.03. This places SAIC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -12.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 610 weeks of data, SAIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SAIC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.5%.
With a market cap of $4.1 billion, SAIC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 23.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SAIC would have grown to $254, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. SAIC has returned 8.3% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 4.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SAIC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SAIC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying SAIC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +37.0% after 12 months (median +40.0%), compared to +29.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +56.2% vs +49.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SAIC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SAIC has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +42.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 7 | 6.7% | +56.1% | +170.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 5.2% | +100.3% | +162.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 6.3% | +48.0% | +78.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 29.6% | +39.3% | +53.1% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 6.4% | +24.4% | +39.5% |
| Feb 2025 | Mar 2025 | 5 | 6.1% | -13.0% | -3.3% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 3 | 2.4% | N/A | -7.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Jan 2026 | 18 | 21.2% | N/A | -7.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 14+ | 20.4% | Ongoing | -5.4% |
| Average | 7 | — | +42.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-05-01, Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC) is trading 12.0% below its 200-week moving average of $109.03. The current price is $95.91.
What is SAIC's 200-week moving average price?
Science Applications International Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $109.03 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SAIC drops below its 200-week moving average?
SAIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +42.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 7 weeks on average.
Is SAIC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SAIC as of 2026-05-01: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 10.1%. Return on equity is 23.3%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SAIC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 11.8 years, $100 invested in SAIC would have grown to $254, compared to $437 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 13.4% for the index. SAIC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does SAIC pay a dividend?
Yes. Science Applications International Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 154.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01