SAIC
Science Applications International Corp. Technology - Defense IT Investor Relations →
Science Applications International Corp. (SAIC) closed at $98.36 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.6% below its 200-week moving average of $108.78. This places SAIC in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -6.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 598 weeks of data, SAIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SAIC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +53.6%.
With a market cap of $4.5 billion, SAIC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 23.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SAIC would have grown to $260, compared to $419 for the S&P 500. SAIC has returned 8.6% annualized vs 13.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: SAIC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SAIC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying SAIC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +38.0% after 12 months (median +40.0%), compared to +29.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +56.2% vs +49.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SAIC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SAIC has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +53.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 7 | 6.7% | +56.1% | +176.6% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 5.2% | +100.3% | +168.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 6.3% | +48.0% | +82.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 29.6% | +39.3% | +56.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 4 | 6.4% | +24.4% | +42.5% |
| Feb 2025 | Mar 2025 | 5 | 6.1% | N/A | -1.2% |
| Jun 2025 | Jun 2025 | 3 | 2.4% | N/A | -5.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Jan 2026 | 18 | 21.2% | N/A | -5.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 9.6% | Ongoing | -3.3% |
| Average | 6 | — | +53.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02