SAIA
Saia, Inc. Industrials - LTL Trucking Investor Relations →
Saia, Inc. (SAIA) closed at $318.63 as of 2026-03-20, trading 9.9% below its 200-week moving average of $353.49. This places SAIA in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -9.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.67 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1179 weeks of data, SAIA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought SAIA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +49.4%.
With a market cap of $8.5 billion, SAIA is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.4%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
Over the past 22.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in SAIA would have grown to $3216, compared to $972 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 16.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming SAIA as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: SAIA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After SAIA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying SAIA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +43.9% after 12 months (median +48.0%), compared to +7.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +100.8% vs +21.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment SAIA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
SAIA has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +49.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 5 | 10.6% | +97.9% | +3073.6% |
| Jul 2005 | Jul 2005 | 1 | 4.4% | +67.8% | +2863.1% |
| Aug 2005 | Oct 2005 | 9 | 9.9% | +84.2% | +2819.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Dec 2010 | 177 | 65.5% | -24.4% | +2175.9% |
| Jan 2011 | Mar 2011 | 8 | 5.7% | -0.5% | +3198.4% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | +49.0% | +3301.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 24 | 28.4% | +70.8% | +3440.3% |
| Oct 2015 | Oct 2016 | 52 | 38.1% | +50.4% | +1249.6% |
| Mar 2025 | Jan 2026 | 40 | 28.2% | N/A | -1.2% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 3.7% | N/A | -4.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 9.9% | Ongoing | -0.7% |
| Average | 29 | — | +49.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SAIA below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is trading 9.9% below its 200-week moving average of $353.49. The current price is $318.63.
What is SAIA's 200-week moving average price?
Saia, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $353.49 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when SAIA drops below its 200-week moving average?
SAIA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +49.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is SAIA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about SAIA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 10.4%. Price-to-book is 3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does SAIA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 22.7 years, $100 invested in SAIA would have grown to $3216, compared to $972 for the S&P 500. That's 16.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index. SAIA has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20