RXO
RXO, Inc. Industrials - Freight Brokerage Investor Relations →
RXO, Inc. (RXO) closed at $13.23 as of 2026-03-20, trading 33.5% below its 200-week moving average of $19.89. This places RXO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -39.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 129 weeks of data, RXO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RXO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.1%.
With a market cap of $2.2 billion, RXO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. Return on equity stands at -6.3%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Share count has increased 41.0% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 2.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RXO would have grown to $72, compared to $160 for the S&P 500. RXO has returned -12.5% annualized vs 20.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 7 open-market purchases totaling $7,226,928. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while RXO is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RXO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RXO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying RXO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.3% after 12 months (median -22.0%), compared to +22.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -4.0% vs +67.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RXO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RXO has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +6.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2023 | Nov 2023 | 6 | 10.4% | +43.7% | -30.1% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 2.6% | -31.6% | -31.7% |
| Feb 2025 | Ongoing | 59+ | 47.1% | Ongoing | -35.5% |
| Average | 22 | — | +6.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RXO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, RXO, Inc. (RXO) is trading 33.5% below its 200-week moving average of $19.89. The current price is $13.23.
What is RXO's 200-week moving average price?
RXO, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $19.89 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RXO drops below its 200-week moving average?
RXO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is RXO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RXO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 2.0%. Return on equity is -6.3%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RXO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 2.5 years, $100 invested in RXO would have grown to $72, compared to $160 for the S&P 500. That's -12.5% annualized vs 20.7% for the index. RXO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20