RUN
Sunrun Inc. Utilities - Solar Investor Relations →
Sunrun Inc. (RUN) closed at $19.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 16.1% above its 200-week moving average of $17.16. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 10.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 500 weeks of data, RUN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 33 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RUN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +79.7%.
With a market cap of $4.6 billion, RUN is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -72.5%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 8.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RUN would have grown to $385, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.0% vs 14.5% for the index — confirming RUN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,564,100.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: RUN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RUN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying RUN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +81.6% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +16.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +51.6% vs +40.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RUN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RUN has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +79.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2016 | Jul 2017 | 52 | 37.6% | +39.4% | +293.1% |
| Aug 2017 | Feb 2018 | 27 | 19.8% | +94.9% | +192.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 19.3% | +564.8% | +138.4% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 8 | 29.1% | +0.2% | -23.1% |
| Mar 2022 | Jul 2022 | 17 | 35.9% | -33.6% | -34.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 3.2% | -49.7% | -36.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2025 | 158 | 74.4% | -58.2% | -35.4% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 3.1% | N/A | +16.3% |
| Average | 33 | — | +79.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02