RTX
RTX Corporation Industrials - Aerospace & Defense Investor Relations →
RTX Corporation (RTX) closed at $198.66 as of 2026-02-02, trading 81.4% above its 200-week moving average of $109.50. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 84.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 3283 weeks of data, RTX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RTX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.3%.
With a market cap of $266.4 billion, RTX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.7%. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 4.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RTX would have grown to $10851, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming RTX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: RTX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RTX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying RTX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.8% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +18.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +60.1% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RTX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RTX has crossed below its 200-week MA 37 times with an average 1-year return of +21.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1963 | Jul 1963 | 2 | 1.6% | +12.1% | +219389.8% |
| Jul 1963 | Feb 1964 | 29 | 8.1% | +12.3% | +228716.4% |
| Mar 1968 | Mar 1968 | 1 | 0.1% | +19.0% | +87747.2% |
| May 1968 | May 1968 | 1 | 0.0% | +10.3% | +84877.5% |
| Jun 1968 | Nov 1968 | 23 | 15.6% | +0.6% | +85314.0% |
| Dec 1968 | Feb 1969 | 12 | 10.0% | -38.1% | +82490.4% |
| May 1969 | May 1972 | 157 | 58.5% | -56.7% | +76972.8% |
| Jun 1972 | Jul 1972 | 8 | 9.7% | -13.2% | +126527.2% |
| Aug 1972 | Aug 1972 | 1 | 0.2% | -24.2% | +126752.0% |
| Jun 1973 | Oct 1973 | 18 | 17.8% | -8.4% | +145837.1% |
| Oct 1973 | Nov 1974 | 54 | 27.4% | +5.2% | +157218.0% |
| Dec 1974 | Dec 1974 | 2 | 2.8% | +63.2% | +146263.3% |
| Nov 1981 | Nov 1981 | 1 | 0.6% | +41.9% | +36716.9% |
| Jan 1982 | Jul 1982 | 26 | 21.6% | +62.4% | +38159.2% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 2 | 1.8% | +79.8% | +36496.0% |
| Oct 1987 | Oct 1988 | 52 | 26.0% | +19.9% | +16611.5% |
| Oct 1988 | Dec 1988 | 8 | 5.1% | +34.4% | +14220.2% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 3 | 3.8% | +8.0% | +12737.8% |
| Oct 1990 | Nov 1990 | 2 | 1.0% | +15.0% | +12337.8% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 2 | 1.8% | +23.9% | +12167.1% |
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 1.9% | +14.2% | +12095.9% |
| Oct 1992 | Dec 1992 | 10 | 10.7% | +28.1% | +11010.3% |
| Jan 1993 | Apr 1993 | 12 | 6.0% | +40.1% | +10665.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 9 | 27.4% | +39.9% | +2428.4% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 1.7% | +22.8% | +1614.1% |
| Aug 2002 | Dec 2002 | 20 | 17.2% | +26.9% | +1625.3% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 13 | 9.6% | +52.6% | +1548.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 47 | 35.8% | +12.0% | +769.7% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 0.5% | +22.2% | +676.4% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 9 | 8.1% | +19.8% | +333.0% |
| Nov 2015 | Feb 2016 | 12 | 11.0% | +16.1% | +318.0% |
| Oct 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +25.5% | +297.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 2.9% | +44.0% | +250.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 33.1% | +21.9% | +243.9% |
| Dec 2020 | Mar 2021 | 12 | 9.1% | +21.1% | +205.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 7 | 13.4% | +61.2% | +175.3% |
| Nov 2023 | Nov 2023 | 1 | 0.8% | +52.6% | +161.8% |
| Average | 16 | — | +21.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02