RS
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. Materials - Metal Distribution Investor Relations →
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS) closed at $406.10 as of 2026-07-31, trading 45.5% above its 200-week moving average of $279.07. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 46.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.83 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1615 weeks of data, RS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.2%.
With a market cap of $20.7 billion, RS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.7%. Return on equity stands at 12.2%. The stock trades at 2.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 31 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RS would have grown to $14774, compared to $2267 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming RS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -34.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying RS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.2% after 12 months (median +33.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 89% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.0% vs +25.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $292.03 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $315.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $343.27 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $376.29 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $416.34 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RS has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +34.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 1.6% | +46.8% | +6261.3% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 3 | 3.8% | +43.9% | +6144.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 6.7% | +15.9% | +5577.9% |
| Sep 2002 | Aug 2003 | 48 | 39.7% | -2.5% | +5193.6% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 3 | 6.6% | +77.6% | +4987.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2009 | 64 | 64.3% | +32.6% | +1727.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 3 | 5.3% | +29.3% | +1254.3% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 1.7% | +12.3% | +1185.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Nov 2010 | 19 | 18.4% | +17.4% | +1229.5% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 1 | 0.1% | -3.6% | +1138.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 21.7% | +22.8% | +1182.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 2.2% | +36.6% | +1185.0% |
| Jan 2015 | Mar 2015 | 10 | 10.5% | -3.2% | +798.5% |
| Apr 2015 | Apr 2015 | 1 | 3.2% | +32.2% | +798.5% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 0.5% | +44.6% | +752.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Feb 2016 | 28 | 13.3% | +32.1% | +787.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 0.6% | +75.5% | +558.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 9.9% | +104.4% | +507.5% |
| Average | 11 | — | +34.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. (RS) is currently 45.5% above its 200-week moving average of $279.07. It would need to fall to $279.07 to cross below the line.
What is RS's 200-week moving average price?
Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co.'s 200-week moving average is $279.07 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RS drops below its 200-week moving average?
RS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is RS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 68. Free cash flow yield is 1.7%. Return on equity is 12.2%. Price-to-book is 2.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31 years, $100 invested in RS would have grown to $14774, compared to $2267 for the S&P 500. That's 17.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index. RS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RS pay a dividend?
Yes. Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. currently pays a dividend yield of 125.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31