RRX
Regal Rexnord Corporation Industrials - Electric Motors Investor Relations →
Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) closed at $205.23 as of 2026-07-31, trading 36.4% above its 200-week moving average of $150.45. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 46, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.85 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, RRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RRX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.2%.
With a market cap of $13.7 billion, RRX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 4.3%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RRX would have grown to $3695, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.3% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming RRX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RRX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RRX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 34 historical episodes, buying RRX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.1% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +12.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.7% vs +29.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RRX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RRX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RRX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $173.90 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $198.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $230.31 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $274.90 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $340.89 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RRX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RRX has crossed below its 200-week MA 38 times with an average 1-year return of +17.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Jul 1981 | 2 | 4.4% | -22.8% | +20607.4% |
| Aug 1981 | Feb 1983 | 77 | 37.2% | -39.7% | +20250.4% |
| Apr 1983 | Apr 1983 | 3 | 8.7% | +50.0% | +22382.3% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1992 | 75 | 31.9% | +0.3% | +5702.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 3.7% | +9.3% | +1482.0% |
| Sep 1998 | Nov 1998 | 5 | 8.5% | -0.4% | +1473.9% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 14 | 25.6% | +3.7% | +1581.9% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 5 | 6.7% | -24.5% | +1380.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 1.3% | -22.8% | +1347.2% |
| Sep 1999 | Jul 2001 | 96 | 30.8% | -20.5% | +1343.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 1 | 2.1% | -0.7% | +1404.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 11 | 13.9% | -5.0% | +1426.6% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 7.6% | +13.9% | +1557.9% |
| Aug 2002 | Nov 2002 | 12 | 13.1% | +19.2% | +1430.4% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 2 | 4.5% | +8.2% | +1467.9% |
| Feb 2003 | May 2003 | 14 | 19.5% | +21.7% | +1578.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2008 | 4 | 6.9% | +4.4% | +695.5% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 9 | 6.6% | -21.1% | +631.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 34.6% | +20.1% | +625.6% |
| May 2009 | Jun 2009 | 3 | 8.8% | +66.3% | +596.0% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 3 | 4.0% | +63.3% | +574.9% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 7.9% | +57.2% | +465.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 3.5% | +41.8% | +434.5% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 3.5% | +42.9% | +432.5% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 4 | 3.7% | -11.0% | +276.1% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 2.4% | -8.8% | +270.2% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2016 | 64 | 25.9% | -4.3% | +263.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 3.6% | +30.5% | +248.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 3 | 2.2% | +40.1% | +227.3% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | +33.8% | +224.9% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 21.8% | +129.6% | +240.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 8 | 14.4% | +45.5% | +71.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 2 | 2.4% | +9.1% | +54.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 20 | 30.7% | +53.9% | +49.7% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 2.3% | N/A | +48.9% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 2.3% | N/A | +49.1% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 7 | 4.8% | N/A | +53.2% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +47.5% |
| Average | 13 | — | +17.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) is currently 36.4% above its 200-week moving average of $150.45. It would need to fall to $150.45 to cross below the line.
What is RRX's 200-week moving average price?
Regal Rexnord Corporation's 200-week moving average is $150.45 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RRX drops below its 200-week moving average?
RRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is RRX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RRX as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 46. Free cash flow yield is 5.8%. Return on equity is 4.3%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RRX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in RRX would have grown to $3695, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 11.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. RRX has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RRX pay a dividend?
Yes. Regal Rexnord Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 69.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31