RRX
Regal Rexnord Corporation Industrials - Electric Motors Investor Relations →
Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) closed at $148.05 as of 2026-09-18, trading 2.3% below its 200-week moving average of $151.59. This places RRX in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 22, RRX is in oversold territory.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.66 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, RRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RRX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.5%.
With a market cap of $9.9 billion, RRX is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 4.8%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RRX would have grown to $2666, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. RRX has returned 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RRX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RRX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 34 historical episodes, buying RRX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.2% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.7% vs +29.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RRX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RRX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RRX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $145.60 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $177.13 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $226.08 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $312.43 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $505.50 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $2.58 | $2.99 | +15.7% |
| 2026-05-06 | $2.11 | $2.17 | +2.7% |
| 2026-02-04 | $2.48 | $2.51 | +1.1% |
| 2025-10-29 | $2.53 | $2.51 | -1.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RRX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RRX has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +17.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Jul 1981 | 2 | 4.4% | -22.8% | +14838.0% |
| Aug 1981 | Feb 1983 | 77 | 37.2% | -39.7% | +14580.5% |
| Apr 1983 | Apr 1983 | 3 | 8.7% | +50.0% | +16118.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1992 | 75 | 31.9% | +0.3% | +4086.0% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 3 | 3.7% | +9.3% | +1041.2% |
| Sep 1998 | Nov 1998 | 5 | 8.5% | -0.4% | +1035.4% |
| Feb 1999 | May 1999 | 14 | 25.6% | +3.7% | +1113.3% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 5 | 6.7% | -24.5% | +968.0% |
| Aug 1999 | Aug 1999 | 1 | 1.3% | -22.8% | +944.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Jul 2001 | 96 | 30.8% | -20.5% | +941.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Aug 2001 | 1 | 2.1% | -0.7% | +985.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 11 | 13.9% | -5.0% | +1001.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 3 | 7.6% | +13.9% | +1096.0% |
| Aug 2002 | Nov 2002 | 12 | 13.1% | +19.2% | +1004.0% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 2 | 4.5% | +8.2% | +1031.1% |
| Feb 2003 | May 2003 | 14 | 19.5% | +21.7% | +1110.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2008 | 4 | 6.9% | +4.4% | +473.9% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 9 | 6.6% | -21.1% | +427.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 29 | 34.6% | +20.1% | +423.4% |
| May 2009 | Jun 2009 | 3 | 8.8% | +66.3% | +402.1% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 3 | 4.0% | +63.3% | +386.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 7.9% | +57.2% | +307.8% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 3.5% | +41.8% | +285.6% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 3.5% | +42.9% | +284.1% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 4 | 3.7% | -11.0% | +171.3% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 2.4% | -8.8% | +167.1% |
| Aug 2015 | Nov 2016 | 64 | 25.9% | -4.3% | +161.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 3.6% | +30.5% | +151.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 3 | 2.2% | +40.1% | +136.1% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.1% | +33.8% | +134.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 21.8% | +129.6% | +145.4% |
| Oct 2023 | Dec 2023 | 8 | 14.4% | +45.5% | +23.6% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 2 | 2.4% | +9.1% | +11.5% |
| Feb 2025 | Jun 2025 | 20 | 30.7% | +53.9% | +8.0% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 2.3% | +29.1% | +7.4% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 2.3% | +17.9% | +7.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 7 | 4.8% | N/A | +10.5% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +6.4% |
| Sep 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 2.3% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 13 | — | +17.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) is trading 2.3% below its 200-week moving average of $151.59. The current price is $148.05.
What is RRX's 200-week moving average price?
Regal Rexnord Corporation's 200-week moving average is $151.59 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RRX drops below its 200-week moving average?
RRX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is RRX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RRX as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 22 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 4.8%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RRX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in RRX would have grown to $2666, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. RRX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RRX pay a dividend?
Yes. Regal Rexnord Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 95.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18