RRR
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Casinos Investor Relations →
Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) closed at $50.91 as of 2026-09-18, trading 4.5% above its 200-week moving average of $48.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 14.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 30, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 494 weeks of data, RRR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RRR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.9%.
With a market cap of $5.2 billion, RRR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.3%. Return on equity stands at 108.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.2x book value.
Over the past 9.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RRR would have grown to $290, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. RRR has returned 11.9% annualized vs 14.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RRR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RRR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying RRR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.7% after 12 months (median +45.0%), compared to +18.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +59.0% vs +39.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RRR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RRR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RRR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $53.23 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $59.03 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $66.25 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $75.49 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $87.72 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $0.47 | $0.67 | +42.1% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.54 | $0.73 | +34.4% |
| 2026-02-10 | $0.45 | $0.75 | +67.7% |
| 2025-10-28 | $0.39 | $0.41 | +6.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RRR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RRR has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +15.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 2.7% | +41.7% | +205.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 17 | 23.3% | -20.0% | +165.0% |
| May 2019 | Jan 2020 | 37 | 25.1% | -57.1% | +162.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 40 | 70.9% | +47.7% | +215.5% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 0.3% | +51.0% | +26.3% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 6 | 14.4% | +32.0% | +25.8% |
| Average | 17 | — | +15.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR) is currently 4.5% above its 200-week moving average of $48.74. It would need to fall to $48.74 to cross below the line.
What is RRR's 200-week moving average price?
Red Rock Resorts, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $48.74 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RRR drops below its 200-week moving average?
RRR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is RRR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RRR as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 30. Free cash flow yield is 3.3%. Return on equity is 108.9%. Price-to-book is 17.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RRR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 9.5 years, $100 invested in RRR would have grown to $290, compared to $371 for the S&P 500. That's 11.9% annualized vs 14.8% for the index. RRR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RRR pay a dividend?
Yes. Red Rock Resorts, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 204.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18