RPM
RPM International Inc. Materials - Coatings & Sealants Investor Relations →
RPM International Inc. (RPM) closed at $98.37 as of 2026-09-18, trading 5.5% below its 200-week moving average of $104.15. This places RPM in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -3.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2378 weeks of data, RPM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RPM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.9%.
With a market cap of $12.6 billion, RPM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.8%. Return on equity stands at 21.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RPM would have grown to $2426, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. RPM has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 27.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RPM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RPM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying RPM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.8% after 12 months (median +25.0%), compared to +22.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.6% vs +27.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RPM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RPM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RPM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $89.49 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $95.28 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $101.88 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $109.45 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $118.25 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | $1.83 | $1.89 | +3.3% |
| 2026-04-08 | $0.35 | $0.57 | +61.8% |
| 2026-01-08 | $1.41 | $1.20 | -15.0% |
| 2025-10-01 | $1.88 | $1.88 | — |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RPM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RPM has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +24.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | Mar 1981 | 1 | 0.2% | -9.3% | +20956.1% |
| Jul 1981 | Dec 1981 | 23 | 20.6% | +6.8% | +20477.5% |
| Jan 1982 | Apr 1982 | 15 | 14.1% | +51.3% | +23115.7% |
| Sep 1990 | Oct 1990 | 1 | 0.4% | +63.2% | +5266.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 0.3% | +5.3% | +1657.3% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 6 | 5.4% | -17.6% | +1622.3% |
| Jun 1999 | Jul 1999 | 3 | 2.0% | -29.8% | +1590.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Oct 2001 | 111 | 39.6% | -27.5% | +1568.5% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 10 | 14.3% | +58.3% | +1637.7% |
| Apr 2003 | Apr 2003 | 1 | 1.3% | +51.7% | +1666.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 50 | 48.7% | +8.0% | +791.1% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 3.8% | +17.0% | +719.7% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 0.3% | +71.1% | +680.0% |
| Mar 2018 | Apr 2018 | 3 | 0.2% | +24.2% | +147.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 10.6% | +81.3% | +124.3% |
| May 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 0.6% | +44.3% | +30.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 4 | 8.8% | N/A | -0.4% |
| Apr 2026 | May 2026 | 4 | 7.3% | N/A | -2.4% |
| Sep 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 5.5% | Ongoing | -1.8% |
| Average | 13 | — | +24.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, RPM International Inc. (RPM) is trading 5.5% below its 200-week moving average of $104.15. The current price is $98.37.
What is RPM's 200-week moving average price?
RPM International Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $104.15 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RPM drops below its 200-week moving average?
RPM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is RPM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RPM as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 3.8%. Return on equity is 21.4%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RPM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in RPM would have grown to $2426, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. RPM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RPM pay a dividend?
Yes. RPM International Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 220.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18