RPD
Rapid7 Inc. Technology - Cybersecurity Investor Relations โ
Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) closed at $10.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 73.7% below its 200-week moving average of $41.09. This places RPD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -71.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 20, RPD is in oversold territory.
Over the past 503 weeks of data, RPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 57 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RPD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.6%.
With a market cap of $708 million, RPD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 20.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 37.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.5x book value.
Share count has increased 10.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RPD would have grown to $86, compared to $387 for the S&P 500. RPD has returned -1.6% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 7 open-market purchases totaling $19,030,558. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window โ a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while RPD is trading below its 200-week moving average โ insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 63.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: RPD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RPD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying RPD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.8% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +19.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +134.0% vs +35.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RPD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RPD has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +43.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2016 | Aug 2016 | 8 | 24.4% | +35.0% | -16.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Apr 2017 | 26 | 29.2% | +11.9% | -32.9% |
| Jul 2017 | Aug 2017 | 3 | 5.0% | +83.9% | -31.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Ongoing | 192+ | 73.7% | Ongoing | -84.1% |
| Average | 57 | โ | +43.6% | โ |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02