RPD

Rapid7 Inc. Technology - Cybersecurity Investor Relations โ†’

YES
73.7% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was -71.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $41.09
14-Week RSI 20 ๐Ÿ“‰

Rapid7 Inc. (RPD) closed at $10.81 as of 2026-02-02, trading 73.7% below its 200-week moving average of $41.09. This places RPD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -71.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 20, RPD is in oversold territory.

Over the past 503 weeks of data, RPD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 57 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RPD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.6%.

With a market cap of $708 million, RPD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 20.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 37.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.5x book value.

Share count has increased 10.1% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 9.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RPD would have grown to $86, compared to $387 for the S&P 500. RPD has returned -1.6% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 7 open-market purchases totaling $19,030,558. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window โ€” a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while RPD is trading below its 200-week moving average โ€” insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 63.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: RPD vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After RPD Crosses Below the Line?

Across 4 historical episodes, buying RPD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.8% after 12 months (median +36.0%), compared to +19.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +134.0% vs +35.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RPD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

2 conviction buys in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases). ๐Ÿ”ฅ Cluster Buy Detected

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-11-25JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security$2,870,000200,000+3.0%
2025-08-13JANA PARTNERS MANAGEMENT, L.P.Affiliated Person$15,135,356772,194+12.9%

Historical Touches

RPD has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +43.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 2016Aug 2016824.4%+35.0%-16.9%
Oct 2016Apr 20172629.2%+11.9%-32.9%
Jul 2017Aug 201735.0%+83.9%-31.8%
Jun 2022Ongoing192+73.7%Ongoing-84.1%
Average57โ€”+43.6%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02