ROST

Ross Stores Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Retail Investor Relations →

NO
50.9% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 49.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $126.40
14-Week RSI 87

Ross Stores Inc. (ROST) closed at $190.74 as of 2026-02-02, trading 50.9% above its 200-week moving average of $126.40. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 49.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 87, ROST is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2065 weeks of data, ROST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ROST at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.8%.

With a market cap of $62.0 billion, ROST is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 37.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.5x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ROST would have grown to $37277, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.5% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming ROST as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: ROST vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ROST Crosses Below the Line?

Across 21 historical episodes, buying ROST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.2% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +10.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 76% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +71.4% vs +18.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ROST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

ROST has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +27.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 1986Sep 198811264.4%-9.5%+69353.2%
Nov 1988Nov 198824.4%+73.0%+89062.8%
Feb 1990Feb 199010.4%-31.0%+78448.3%
Apr 1990Jun 1990715.0%-13.4%+80364.0%
Jul 1990May 19914357.2%+38.6%+79394.6%
Jun 1992Aug 1992713.2%+13.5%+63342.9%
Sep 1992Oct 1992311.5%+2.8%+62145.8%
May 1993May 199344.2%+6.7%+59882.3%
Aug 1993Sep 199352.6%+12.0%+61564.0%
Dec 1993Jan 199467.6%-15.5%+60993.1%
May 1994Jun 199454.7%-20.0%+61581.3%
Sep 1994Aug 19954635.3%+9.6%+55730.2%
Jan 2000Mar 20001022.9%+28.8%+12890.6%
Jun 2000Jan 20013027.6%+47.3%+11502.9%
Apr 2001Apr 200110.0%+107.1%+10196.1%
Sep 2005Sep 200511.4%+12.2%+3984.5%
Jul 2006Sep 200698.9%+31.0%+3693.0%
Jul 2007Aug 200730.4%+38.5%+3244.4%
Sep 2007Jan 20082115.6%+53.4%+3378.1%
Oct 2008Oct 200832.2%+61.9%+3118.7%
Nov 2008Dec 2008518.3%+77.5%+3367.8%
Mar 2020Apr 2020320.9%+90.4%+216.6%
Oct 2020Nov 202010.3%+33.9%+136.8%
Jan 2022Apr 20221213.6%+22.9%+109.3%
Apr 2022Nov 20222929.5%+8.4%+99.5%
Mar 2023Mar 202320.9%+43.9%+93.1%
Average14+27.8%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02