ROCK
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. Industrials - Building Products Investor Relations →
Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) closed at $40.90 as of 2026-06-19, trading 31.9% below its 200-week moving average of $60.07. This places ROCK in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -32.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1654 weeks of data, ROCK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ROCK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.6%.
With a market cap of $1213 million, ROCK is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 6.6%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.3% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 31.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ROCK would have grown to $593, compared to $2744 for the S&P 500. ROCK has returned 5.8% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 6 open-market purchases totaling $1,598,461. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while ROCK is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ROCK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ROCK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying ROCK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.7% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.5% vs +17.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ROCK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ROCK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ROCK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $27.96 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $31.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $36.65 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $43.38 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $53.15 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ROCK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ROCK has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +17.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1994 | Apr 1995 | 25 | 20.4% | +14.0% | +520.8% |
| Oct 1995 | Jan 1996 | 12 | 7.5% | +77.6% | +444.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 10 | 20.7% | +43.2% | +289.7% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 4.1% | +37.3% | +269.4% |
| Mar 1999 | Mar 1999 | 3 | 10.8% | -12.8% | +276.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Sep 1999 | 1 | 0.8% | -15.1% | +220.9% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2001 | 70 | 44.4% | -23.2% | +232.6% |
| May 2001 | Jul 2001 | 9 | 3.9% | +26.3% | +247.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Dec 2001 | 13 | 21.5% | +5.8% | +244.2% |
| Dec 2001 | Mar 2002 | 11 | 20.0% | +8.0% | +260.3% |
| Nov 2002 | May 2003 | 24 | 10.6% | +24.5% | +249.6% |
| Jun 2007 | Jun 2007 | 3 | 0.8% | -22.2% | +97.1% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2008 | 56 | 52.0% | -39.3% | +100.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2010 | 116 | 79.1% | -24.8% | +147.6% |
| Jan 2011 | May 2011 | 17 | 20.2% | +15.1% | +226.9% |
| May 2011 | Oct 2011 | 24 | 37.4% | -17.4% | +226.7% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.1% | +18.0% | +262.9% |
| Apr 2012 | Sep 2012 | 18 | 17.8% | +47.9% | +263.2% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 2 | 7.9% | +36.0% | +203.2% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 1 | 0.6% | +82.5% | +185.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 6.2% | +139.0% | +11.9% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 0.4% | +103.1% | +4.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Jun 2023 | 71 | 31.9% | -3.3% | -23.9% |
| Aug 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | -9.3% | -36.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Feb 2025 | 9 | 11.0% | -17.6% | -32.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 14 | 15.7% | -36.2% | -32.8% |
| Aug 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 3.8% | N/A | -29.7% |
| Nov 2025 | Ongoing | 32+ | 41.3% | Ongoing | -30.9% |
| Average | 20 | — | +17.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROCK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) is trading 31.9% below its 200-week moving average of $60.07. The current price is $40.90.
What is ROCK's 200-week moving average price?
Gibraltar Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $60.07 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ROCK drops below its 200-week moving average?
ROCK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is ROCK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ROCK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 5.6%. Return on equity is 6.6%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ROCK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.8 years, $100 invested in ROCK would have grown to $593, compared to $2744 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. ROCK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19