RNR

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. Financial Services - Reinsurance Investor Relations →

NO
36.9% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 41.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $233.68
14-Week RSI 55
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.93

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) closed at $319.98 as of 2026-07-31, trading 36.9% above its 200-week moving average of $233.68. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.93 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1570 weeks of data, RNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RNR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.3%.

With a market cap of $13.3 billion, RNR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 21.0%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 21.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

RNR passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 30.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RNR would have grown to $5150, compared to $1953 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.0% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming RNR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 32.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: RNR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After RNR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying RNR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.4% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 95% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +55.7% vs +21.3% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RNR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RNR would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -1.02σ
Current FCF Yield 30.36%
Baseline Yield 33.02%
Historical σ 1.55pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where RNR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$282.62Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$295.72Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$310.10Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$325.95Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$343.51Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 26 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from RNR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -2.22σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.47σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -12.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -4.3pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+13.9pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

RNR has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +24.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1996Sep 199611.8%+66.6%+5465.0%
Jan 1999Mar 199988.9%+21.1%+4009.1%
Apr 1999May 199949.3%+18.6%+3996.5%
Sep 1999Oct 199923.1%+95.0%+3948.8%
Sep 2005Sep 200510.9%+25.5%+859.3%
Oct 2005Nov 2005515.6%+34.9%+868.3%
Dec 2005Dec 200521.2%+41.9%+842.8%
Feb 2006May 2006106.1%+24.7%+835.8%
Jun 2008Jul 200879.0%-1.3%+688.2%
Sep 2008Sep 200810.9%+11.9%+691.2%
Sep 2008Dec 20081322.6%+10.9%+690.5%
Jan 2009Apr 20091111.5%+17.8%+723.8%
Apr 2009Jul 20091310.2%+20.1%+691.0%
Mar 2020Apr 202039.3%+26.7%+159.4%
Apr 2020May 202021.9%+23.0%+137.6%
Jan 2021Feb 202110.8%+4.7%+121.6%
May 2021Aug 202196.9%+2.0%+120.6%
Aug 2021Nov 2021109.6%-8.8%+117.6%
Jan 2022Oct 20224021.3%+26.2%+111.7%
Average8+24.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is RNR below its 200-week moving average?

No. RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. (RNR) is currently 36.9% above its 200-week moving average of $233.68. It would need to fall to $233.68 to cross below the line.

What is RNR's 200-week moving average price?

RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $233.68 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when RNR drops below its 200-week moving average?

RNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.

Is RNR a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about RNR as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 55. Free cash flow yield is 21.0%. Return on equity is 21.5%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does RNR compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 30.1 years, $100 invested in RNR would have grown to $5150, compared to $1953 for the S&P 500. That's 14.0% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. RNR has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does RNR pay a dividend?

Yes. RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. currently pays a dividend yield of 52.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-07-31