RKLB
Rocket Lab USA Inc. Aerospace Investor Relations →
Rocket Lab USA Inc. (RKLB) closed at $72.32 as of 2026-02-02, trading 332.1% above its 200-week moving average of $16.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 387.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 223 weeks of data, RKLB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 140 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -61.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $38.6 billion, RKLB is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -23.2%. The stock trades at 28.0x book value.
Share count has increased 12.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RKLB would have grown to $556, compared to $161 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 48.6% vs 11.6% for the index — confirming RKLB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: RKLB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RKLB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying RKLB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -44.0% after 12 months (median -44.0%), compared to -8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -58.0% vs +11.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RKLB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RKLB has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +-61.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2022 | Sep 2024 | 140 | 63.4% | -61.0% | +565.9% |
| Average | 140 | — | +-61.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02