RIVN
Rivian Automotive Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Electric Vehicles Investor Relations →
Rivian Automotive Inc. (RIVN) closed at $14.80 as of 2026-02-02, trading 18.0% below its 200-week moving average of $18.05. This places RIVN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -18.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 173 weeks of data, RIVN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 2 times. On average, these episodes lasted 84 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -47.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $18.1 billion, RIVN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.0%. Return on equity stands at -64.9%. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.
Share count has increased 25.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RIVN would have grown to $46, compared to $187 for the S&P 500. RIVN has returned -20.2% annualized vs 20.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: RIVN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RIVN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying RIVN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -45.0% after 12 months (median -45.0%), compared to +10.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -68.0% vs +52.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RIVN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RIVN has crossed below its 200-week MA 2 times with an average 1-year return of +-47.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2022 | Dec 2025 | 165 | 72.6% | -47.6% | -53.6% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 4+ | 18.8% | Ongoing | -11.2% |
| Average | 84 | — | +-47.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02