RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. Financial Services - Mortgage REIT Investor Relations →
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) closed at $8.77 as of 2026-03-20, trading 0.8% below its 200-week moving average of $8.84. This places RITM in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, RITM is in oversold territory.
A big spike in selling this week — 4.7x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 624 weeks of data, RITM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RITM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $4.9 billion, RITM is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Share count has increased 17.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RITM would have grown to $249, compared to $422 for the S&P 500. RITM has returned 7.9% annualized vs 12.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RITM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RITM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying RITM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.5% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +74.2% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RITM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RITM has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | 0.7% | +30.7% | +152.2% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 5.3% | +67.8% | +134.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 9.7% | +80.2% | +144.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Oct 2021 | 82 | 74.5% | -3.8% | +25.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Jan 2022 | 6 | 2.9% | -8.9% | +22.0% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 8 | 4.8% | -3.5% | +25.0% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 1.0% | -14.5% | +24.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 16.3% | +21.6% | +48.3% |
| Aug 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 0.7% | +16.1% | +26.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 21 | 25.8% | +13.5% | +26.7% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 13.3% | +48.2% | +42.5% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 0.8% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 12 | — | +22.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RITM below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) is trading 0.8% below its 200-week moving average of $8.84. The current price is $8.77.
What is RITM's 200-week moving average price?
Rithm Capital Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $8.84 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RITM drops below its 200-week moving average?
RITM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is RITM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RITM as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Return on equity is 8.4%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RITM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 12 years, $100 invested in RITM would have grown to $249, compared to $422 for the S&P 500. That's 7.9% annualized vs 12.8% for the index. RITM has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does RITM pay a dividend?
Yes. Rithm Capital Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 1140.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20