RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. Financial Services - Mortgage REIT Investor Relations →
Rithm Capital Corp. (RITM) closed at $10.73 as of 2026-02-02, trading 22.4% above its 200-week moving average of $8.77. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 618 weeks of data, RITM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RITM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $6.0 billion, RITM is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.4%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 11.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 11.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RITM would have grown to $304, compared to $448 for the S&P 500. RITM has returned 9.8% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: RITM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RITM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying RITM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.5% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 82% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +74.2% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RITM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RITM has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2014 | Sep 2014 | 1 | 0.7% | +30.7% | +208.6% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 5.3% | +67.8% | +186.5% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 9.7% | +80.2% | +199.7% |
| Mar 2020 | Oct 2021 | 82 | 74.5% | -3.8% | +53.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Jan 2022 | 6 | 2.9% | -8.9% | +49.2% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 8 | 4.8% | -3.5% | +52.9% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 4 | 1.0% | -14.5% | +52.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 16.3% | +21.6% | +81.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Aug 2022 | 1 | 0.7% | +16.1% | +54.4% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 21 | 25.8% | +13.5% | +55.0% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 13.3% | +48.2% | +74.4% |
| Average | 13 | — | +22.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02