RHP
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. Real Estate - Entertainment & Hospitality Investor Relations →
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (RHP) closed at $125.15 as of 2026-06-19, trading 38.9% above its 200-week moving average of $90.12. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 36.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, RHP is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.85 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1760 weeks of data, RHP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RHP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.1%.
With a market cap of $7.9 billion, RHP is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 23.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.7x book value.
Share count has increased 14.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RHP would have grown to $1661, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. RHP has returned 8.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RHP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RHP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying RHP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +21.0% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.9% vs +15.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RHP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices RHP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where RHP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-04-30.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $83.91 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $90.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $98.21 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $107.36 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $118.40 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from RHP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
RHP has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1994 | Oct 1994 | 1 | 1.3% | +28.2% | +1416.9% |
| Sep 1996 | Jan 1997 | 16 | 14.4% | +14.5% | +1122.0% |
| Feb 1997 | Aug 1997 | 28 | 13.3% | +47.3% | +1218.5% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 3 | 9.3% | +29.9% | +1061.4% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 9.0% | +15.2% | +991.2% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 1 | 0.2% | -12.5% | +871.6% |
| Apr 2000 | Aug 2000 | 17 | 24.6% | +3.7% | +932.5% |
| Aug 2000 | Apr 2001 | 34 | 27.4% | +8.5% | +892.7% |
| Jul 2001 | Aug 2001 | 5 | 1.1% | -27.0% | +836.3% |
| Sep 2001 | Apr 2002 | 31 | 30.2% | -18.1% | +850.1% |
| May 2002 | Sep 2003 | 72 | 30.7% | -16.9% | +907.7% |
| Nov 2007 | Apr 2010 | 126 | 87.5% | -85.1% | +536.8% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 29.3% | +26.5% | +900.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Dec 2011 | 20 | 22.8% | +50.0% | +940.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 38 | 67.5% | +43.2% | +159.5% |
| Dec 2020 | Dec 2020 | 1 | 2.6% | +31.4% | +136.7% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 4.4% | +15.3% | +57.4% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 4 | 1.6% | N/A | +48.0% |
| Average | 24 | — | +9.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RHP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. (RHP) is currently 38.9% above its 200-week moving average of $90.12. It would need to fall to $90.12 to cross below the line.
What is RHP's 200-week moving average price?
Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $90.12 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RHP drops below its 200-week moving average?
RHP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is RHP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RHP as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 86 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 7.1%. Return on equity is 23.4%. Price-to-book is 10.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RHP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in RHP would have grown to $1661, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. RHP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19