RF

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NO
55.2% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 43.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $19.93
14-Week RSI 86

Regions Financial Corporation (RF) closed at $30.93 as of 2026-02-02, trading 55.2% above its 200-week moving average of $19.93. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 43.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 86, RF is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, RF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.1%.

With a market cap of $27.1 billion, RF is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 11.7%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RF would have grown to $690, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. RF has returned 6.0% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -21.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: RF vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After RF Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying RF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.5% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +7.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 81% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.2% vs +14.4% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

RF has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +27.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1982Sep 19822116.9%+24.0%+5110.9%
Nov 1987Feb 19881314.9%+4.4%+1995.4%
Mar 1988Jun 19881613.0%+10.3%+1884.7%
Jul 1988Jan 19892910.8%+14.7%+1746.2%
Feb 1989Mar 198966.4%+5.7%+1686.0%
Dec 1989Dec 198924.8%+12.9%+1664.1%
Jan 1990Mar 199072.9%+20.0%+1602.8%
Mar 1990May 1990106.8%+45.9%+1645.9%
Aug 1990Aug 199026.2%+79.5%+1650.6%
Sep 1990Oct 199045.4%+85.2%+1664.8%
Oct 1990Nov 199031.2%+86.6%+1639.6%
Sep 1999Feb 20017539.7%-24.7%+199.5%
Mar 2001Apr 200148.0%+25.8%+201.1%
May 2001May 200110.6%+22.3%+188.8%
Jun 2001Jun 200110.2%+20.6%+187.4%
Aug 2001Nov 2001108.8%+27.2%+191.6%
Nov 2001Dec 200110.1%+25.0%+192.1%
Jul 2007Aug 200736.0%-67.7%+77.9%
Sep 2007Mar 201223888.5%-60.7%+77.1%
Apr 2012Apr 201223.9%+33.5%+665.5%
May 2012Jun 201245.8%+48.5%+663.0%
Jan 2016Apr 20161413.7%+83.6%+439.4%
Jun 2016Jul 201636.3%+62.4%+411.2%
Feb 2020Nov 20203743.2%+59.8%+192.7%
May 2023May 202338.9%+26.1%+112.3%
Jun 2023Jun 202311.5%+17.7%+104.7%
Sep 2023Nov 20231019.2%+42.5%+100.8%
Mar 2025Apr 202522.6%N/A+71.1%
Average19+27.1%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02