REPX
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) closed at $34.97 as of 2026-03-20, trading 32.1% above its 200-week moving average of $26.47. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 25.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 78, REPX is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.1x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1372 weeks of data, REPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. Historically, investors who bought REPX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.3%.
With a market cap of $768 million, REPX is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 28.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 7.7% over three years, indicating dilution. REPX passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 26.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in REPX would have grown to $4, compared to $705 for the S&P 500. REPX has returned -11.8% annualized vs 7.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: REPX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After REPX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying REPX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.5% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to -0.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 46% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -19.8% vs +10.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment REPX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
REPX has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +27.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 1.2% | +117.3% | -94.5% |
| Dec 2001 | Mar 2006 | 224 | 95.5% | -83.5% | -95.5% |
| Aug 2007 | Sep 2007 | 2 | 0.7% | +163.9% | -38.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Dec 2007 | 5 | 13.3% | -12.1% | -35.7% |
| Jan 2008 | Feb 2008 | 6 | 10.1% | +10.7% | -33.4% |
| Mar 2008 | Apr 2008 | 5 | 8.0% | -5.1% | -36.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Jan 2011 | 118 | 47.9% | -15.0% | -37.8% |
| Dec 2011 | Jan 2012 | 3 | 1.5% | -16.9% | -47.5% |
| Nov 2012 | Jan 2013 | 9 | 10.6% | -33.9% | -39.8% |
| Mar 2013 | Aug 2020 | 388 | 86.0% | -35.4% | -42.6% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 1.9% | +159.2% | +411.1% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 6 | 6.2% | +79.0% | +80.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 4 | 8.5% | N/A | +51.4% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 2 | 1.2% | N/A | +42.8% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 1 | 2.3% | N/A | +41.8% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 0.4% | N/A | +36.7% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 4.8% | N/A | +36.4% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 4 | 3.7% | N/A | +39.4% |
| Average | 44 | — | +27.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REPX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) is currently 32.1% above its 200-week moving average of $26.47. It would need to fall to $26.47 to cross below the line.
What is REPX's 200-week moving average price?
Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $26.47 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when REPX drops below its 200-week moving average?
REPX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 44 weeks on average.
Is REPX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about REPX as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 78 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 7.8%. Return on equity is 28.1%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does REPX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 26.3 years, $100 invested in REPX would have grown to $4, compared to $705 for the S&P 500. That's -11.8% annualized vs 7.7% for the index. REPX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does REPX pay a dividend?
Yes. Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 458.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20