RDW
Redwire Corporation Industrials - Space Investor Relations →
Redwire Corporation (RDW) closed at $10.04 as of 2026-02-02, trading 53.6% above its 200-week moving average of $6.54. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 80.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 216 weeks of data, RDW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 44 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.5%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1658 million, RDW is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -39.8%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Share count has increased 5.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RDW would have grown to $149, compared to $154 for the S&P 500. RDW has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: RDW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RDW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying RDW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -19.5% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to -1.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -58.0% vs +3.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RDW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RDW has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2021 | Jun 2024 | 129 | 73.0% | -73.8% | +36.8% |
| Aug 2024 | Aug 2024 | 1 | 1.5% | +66.8% | +86.3% |
| Nov 2025 | Dec 2025 | 3 | 16.8% | N/A | +85.6% |
| Average | 44 | — | +-3.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02