RCAT
Red Cat Holdings Inc. Industrials - Drones Investor Relations →
Red Cat Holdings Inc. (RCAT) closed at $12.63 as of 2026-02-02, trading 228.7% above its 200-week moving average of $3.84. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 256.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1207 weeks of data, RCAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 53 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RCAT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.8%.
With a market cap of $1508 million, RCAT is a small-cap stock. The stock trades at 5.9x book value.
Share count has increased 152.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 23.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RCAT would have grown to $0, compared to $1201 for the S&P 500. RCAT has returned -26.1% annualized vs 11.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: RCAT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RCAT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying RCAT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median -50.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +4.6% vs +23.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RCAT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RCAT has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +47.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2006 | 171 | 94.4% | -30.0% | -99.9% |
| Apr 2006 | May 2006 | 5 | 34.8% | -57.1% | -99.9% |
| Jun 2006 | Jan 2010 | 187 | 86.4% | -80.0% | -99.9% |
| Jan 2010 | May 2010 | 14 | 59.2% | N/A | -99.6% |
| Jul 2010 | Aug 2010 | 4 | 54.0% | N/A | -99.6% |
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 5 | 52.7% | +700.0% | -99.3% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 2 | 46.4% | +600.0% | -99.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Dec 2012 | 24 | 68.7% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 2 | 16.8% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 3 | 19.1% | +100.0% | -99.8% |
| Jul 2013 | Sep 2013 | 8 | 22.9% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| Oct 2013 | Oct 2013 | 1 | 0.2% | -33.3% | -99.8% |
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 1.0% | -48.3% | -99.8% |
| Dec 2013 | Jan 2014 | 3 | 3.6% | -61.7% | -99.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 4.8% | -83.3% | -99.8% |
| Feb 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 5.9% | -81.7% | -99.8% |
| Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 2 | 6.8% | -76.7% | -99.8% |
| Jun 2014 | Jul 2024 | 528 | 99.6% | -86.7% | -99.8% |
| Average | 53 | — | +47.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02