RCAT
Red Cat Holdings Inc. Industrials - Drones Investor Relations →
Red Cat Holdings Inc. (RCAT) closed at $13.25 as of 2026-03-20, trading 216.7% above its 200-week moving average of $4.18. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 284.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.19 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1213 weeks of data, RCAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 53 weeks. Historically, investors who bought RCAT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.8%.
With a market cap of $1582 million, RCAT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -48.7%. The stock trades at 6.5x book value.
Share count has increased 152.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 23.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in RCAT would have grown to $0, compared to $1131 for the S&P 500. RCAT has returned -25.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: RCAT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After RCAT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying RCAT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +61.4% after 12 months (median -50.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +4.6% vs +23.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment RCAT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
RCAT has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +47.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2006 | 171 | 94.4% | -30.0% | -99.9% |
| Apr 2006 | May 2006 | 5 | 34.8% | -57.1% | -99.9% |
| Jun 2006 | Jan 2010 | 187 | 86.4% | -80.0% | -99.9% |
| Jan 2010 | May 2010 | 14 | 59.2% | N/A | -99.6% |
| Jul 2010 | Aug 2010 | 4 | 54.0% | N/A | -99.6% |
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 5 | 52.7% | +700.0% | -99.3% |
| Jan 2011 | Feb 2011 | 2 | 46.4% | +600.0% | -99.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Dec 2012 | 24 | 68.7% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| Mar 2013 | Apr 2013 | 2 | 16.8% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| May 2013 | Jun 2013 | 3 | 19.1% | +100.0% | -99.8% |
| Jul 2013 | Sep 2013 | 8 | 22.9% | +33.3% | -99.8% |
| Oct 2013 | Oct 2013 | 1 | 0.2% | -33.3% | -99.8% |
| Nov 2013 | Nov 2013 | 1 | 1.0% | -48.3% | -99.8% |
| Dec 2013 | Jan 2014 | 3 | 3.6% | -61.7% | -99.8% |
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 4.8% | -83.3% | -99.8% |
| Feb 2014 | Feb 2014 | 1 | 5.9% | -81.7% | -99.8% |
| Mar 2014 | Mar 2014 | 2 | 6.8% | -76.7% | -99.8% |
| Jun 2014 | Jul 2024 | 528 | 99.6% | -86.7% | -99.8% |
| Average | 53 | — | +47.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RCAT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Red Cat Holdings Inc. (RCAT) is currently 216.7% above its 200-week moving average of $4.18. It would need to fall to $4.18 to cross below the line.
What is RCAT's 200-week moving average price?
Red Cat Holdings Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $4.18 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when RCAT drops below its 200-week moving average?
RCAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +47.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 53 weeks on average.
Is RCAT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about RCAT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -48.7%. Price-to-book is 6.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does RCAT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23.3 years, $100 invested in RCAT would have grown to $0, compared to $1131 for the S&P 500. That's -25.9% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. RCAT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20