PWR

Quanta Services Inc. Industrials - Construction Services Investor Relations →

NO
92.7% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 98.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $330.44
14-Week RSI 38
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.86

Quanta Services Inc. (PWR) closed at $636.71 as of 2026-09-18, trading 92.7% above its 200-week moving average of $330.44. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 98.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1444 weeks of data, PWR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PWR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.8%.

With a market cap of $95.7 billion, PWR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. Return on equity stands at 15.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 9.9x book value.

Share count has increased 4.7% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PWR would have grown to $3463, compared to $965 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.6% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming PWR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 32.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: PWR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After PWR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 17 historical episodes, buying PWR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.7% after 12 months (median -7.0%), compared to +13.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 41% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.8% vs +30.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PWR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PWR would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.07σ
Current FCF Yield 2.50%
Baseline Yield 2.38%
Historical σ 0.25pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where PWR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$581.95Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$641.60Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$714.88Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$807.06Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$926.52Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-30$3.31$4.24+28.1%
2026-04-30$2.03$2.68+31.8%
2026-02-19$3.02$3.16+4.7%
2025-10-30$3.26$3.33+2.2%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from PWR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -1.20σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.07σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -1.2pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-0.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

PWR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +5.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 2001Apr 200148.2%-22.0%+2900.6%
Jun 2001Jul 200137.1%-43.0%+2711.0%
Jul 2001May 200519891.3%-89.8%+3046.0%
Oct 2008Jan 20091641.2%+17.2%+3366.8%
Feb 2009Mar 2009616.1%-7.9%+3321.2%
May 2009May 200911.6%+0.2%+2980.4%
Jun 2009Jul 200938.2%-6.9%+2886.8%
Sep 2009Oct 200936.4%-14.6%+2839.5%
Oct 2009Jan 20116626.3%-7.3%+2962.9%
Feb 2011Jan 20124526.7%-5.4%+2814.5%
Jan 2012Jan 201211.2%+34.8%+2934.3%
Feb 2012Mar 201222.6%+36.2%+2981.8%
Mar 2012Apr 201242.5%+34.3%+2932.9%
Jan 2015Feb 201531.2%-31.2%+2362.4%
Jul 2015Oct 20166537.0%-5.9%+2305.0%
Dec 2018Dec 201836.8%+36.3%+2045.2%
Mar 2020May 20201127.1%+174.4%+1889.7%
Average26+5.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PWR below its 200-week moving average?

No. Quanta Services Inc. (PWR) is currently 92.7% above its 200-week moving average of $330.44. It would need to fall to $330.44 to cross below the line.

What is PWR's 200-week moving average price?

Quanta Services Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $330.44 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when PWR drops below its 200-week moving average?

PWR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +5.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.

Is PWR a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about PWR as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 2.0%. Return on equity is 15.3%. Price-to-book is 9.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does PWR compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 27.8 years, $100 invested in PWR would have grown to $3463, compared to $965 for the S&P 500. That's 13.6% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. PWR has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does PWR pay a dividend?

Yes. Quanta Services Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 7.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18