PVH
PVH Corp. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
PVH Corp. (PVH) closed at $77.07 as of 2026-06-19, trading 10.2% below its 200-week moving average of $85.81. This places PVH in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -4.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, PVH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PVH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.7%.
With a market cap of $3.6 billion, PVH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 3.3%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 27.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PVH would have grown to $322, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PVH has returned 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PVH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PVH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying PVH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.6% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +2.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 41% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +15.5% vs +20.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PVH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PVH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PVH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-25.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $51.05 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $58.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $68.52 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $82.67 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $104.18 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PVH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PVH has crossed below its 200-week MA 37 times with an average 1-year return of +16.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 4.6% | +60.7% | +7588.3% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 4 | 8.3% | +148.6% | +7588.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 18 | 37.5% | +55.6% | +2224.2% |
| Mar 1988 | Oct 1988 | 30 | 24.6% | +43.3% | +1588.0% |
| Oct 1988 | Dec 1988 | 6 | 14.8% | +74.4% | +1467.1% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 2 | 3.5% | +22.7% | +1234.0% |
| Sep 1990 | Dec 1990 | 11 | 29.9% | +148.1% | +1163.6% |
| Dec 1990 | Jan 1991 | 4 | 7.0% | +118.3% | +1234.8% |
| Jul 1994 | Jun 1998 | 206 | 58.4% | -23.3% | +324.0% |
| Jul 1998 | Sep 2000 | 112 | 51.1% | -29.7% | +583.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 8 | 16.6% | +37.3% | +819.9% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 9.9% | -34.5% | +144.5% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 10 | 11.2% | -50.8% | +119.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Aug 2008 | 6 | 15.4% | -21.6% | +115.3% |
| Aug 2008 | Sep 2008 | 3 | 8.8% | +2.5% | +122.0% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 49 | 63.6% | +11.7% | +113.1% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 0.1% | +73.1% | +102.0% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 1.8% | +48.2% | +101.4% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 3 | 5.9% | -16.2% | -23.7% |
| Apr 2015 | Jun 2015 | 7 | 0.9% | -7.9% | -24.5% |
| Sep 2015 | Jun 2017 | 91 | 38.0% | +3.8% | -25.3% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2019 | 13 | 21.6% | -9.2% | -29.2% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 3 | 5.4% | -37.2% | -29.3% |
| May 2019 | Mar 2021 | 94 | 72.4% | -62.9% | -28.3% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 2 | 3.3% | -17.8% | -23.7% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 1 | 2.4% | -39.4% | -23.6% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 2 | 5.6% | -41.8% | -20.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 4 | 3.1% | -26.2% | -21.5% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 4 | 6.6% | -9.9% | -19.2% |
| Feb 2022 | Jan 2023 | 45 | 48.2% | +5.4% | -1.8% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 7 | 10.9% | +59.6% | -3.3% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 4.5% | +54.8% | -0.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 0.7% | +41.7% | -4.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 12 | 12.9% | +35.6% | -0.8% |
| Jan 2025 | Apr 2026 | 63 | 30.2% | -31.9% | -14.4% |
| May 2026 | May 2026 | 1 | 6.9% | N/A | -3.0% |
| Jun 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 10.2% | Ongoing | -0.9% |
| Average | 22 | — | +16.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PVH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, PVH Corp. (PVH) is trading 10.2% below its 200-week moving average of $85.81. The current price is $77.07.
What is PVH's 200-week moving average price?
PVH Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $85.81 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PVH drops below its 200-week moving average?
PVH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 37 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is PVH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PVH as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow yield is 13.1%. Return on equity is 3.3%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PVH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PVH would have grown to $322, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PVH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PVH pay a dividend?
Yes. PVH Corp. currently pays a dividend yield of 18.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19