PTC
PTC Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
PTC Inc. (PTC) closed at $155.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 0.9% below its 200-week moving average of $157.12. This places PTC in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -0.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, PTC is in oversold territory.
Over the past 1839 weeks of data, PTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.1%.
With a market cap of $18.5 billion, PTC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.2%. Return on equity stands at 23.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
PTC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PTC would have grown to $852, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. PTC has returned 6.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 27.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: PTC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PTC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying PTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.3% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +6.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 54% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.8% vs +21.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +23.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1990 | Dec 1990 | 2 | 1.6% | +165.8% | +6399.6% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 1999 | 72 | 54.3% | -12.1% | +287.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 4 | 9.6% | -20.1% | +222.5% |
| Mar 2000 | Nov 2004 | 240 | 85.2% | -57.0% | +195.7% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 5.4% | -35.0% | +950.0% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 9 | 9.1% | -43.8% | +891.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 54.7% | -17.5% | +858.9% |
| Nov 2009 | Dec 2009 | 4 | 4.6% | +37.8% | +898.8% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 2.6% | +39.7% | +893.7% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 3.9% | +49.6% | +906.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 8 | 9.4% | +33.8% | +850.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 9.0% | +60.5% | +407.6% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 0.7% | +33.3% | +141.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 30.3% | +88.7% | +134.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 3.0% | N/A | +11.4% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 0.9% | Ongoing | -0.3% |
| Average | 26 | — | +23.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02