PTC
PTC Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
PTC Inc. (PTC) closed at $149.81 as of 2026-03-20, trading 5.5% below its 200-week moving average of $158.58. This places PTC in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -1.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 24, PTC is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.21 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1845 weeks of data, PTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 27 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PTC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.1%.
With a market cap of $17.8 billion, PTC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.4%. Return on equity stands at 23.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.6x book value.
PTC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PTC would have grown to $820, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. PTC has returned 6.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 27.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PTC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PTC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying PTC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.6% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +7.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 57% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.8% vs +21.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PTC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PTC has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +23.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1990 | Dec 1990 | 2 | 1.6% | +165.8% | +6152.9% |
| Jun 1998 | Nov 1999 | 72 | 54.3% | -12.1% | +273.1% |
| Jan 2000 | Jan 2000 | 4 | 9.6% | -20.1% | +210.3% |
| Mar 2000 | Nov 2004 | 240 | 85.2% | -57.0% | +184.5% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 5.4% | -35.0% | +910.2% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 9 | 9.1% | -43.8% | +854.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 54.7% | -17.5% | +822.5% |
| Nov 2009 | Dec 2009 | 4 | 4.6% | +37.8% | +860.9% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 2.6% | +39.7% | +856.0% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 3.9% | +49.6% | +868.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 8 | 9.4% | +33.8% | +814.0% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 9.0% | +60.5% | +388.3% |
| Oct 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 0.7% | +33.3% | +132.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 12 | 30.3% | +88.7% | +125.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 3.0% | N/A | +7.2% |
| Jan 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 5.5% | Ongoing | -4.0% |
| Average | 27 | — | +23.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PTC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, PTC Inc. (PTC) is trading 5.5% below its 200-week moving average of $158.58. The current price is $149.81.
What is PTC's 200-week moving average price?
PTC Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $158.58 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PTC drops below its 200-week moving average?
PTC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 27 weeks on average.
Is PTC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PTC as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 24 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 4.4%. Return on equity is 23.1%. Price-to-book is 4.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PTC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in PTC would have grown to $820, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 6.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. PTC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20