PRIM
Primoris Services Corporation Industrials - Infrastructure Services Investor Relations →
Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) closed at $101.30 as of 2026-06-19, trading 55.3% above its 200-week moving average of $65.24. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 52.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.35 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 884 weeks of data, PRIM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PRIM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.0%.
With a market cap of $5.5 billion, PRIM is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.3%. Return on equity stands at 15.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
Over the past 17 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PRIM would have grown to $1527, compared to $1023 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.4% vs 14.7% for the index — confirming PRIM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $1,004,933.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PRIM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PRIM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying PRIM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.9% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 86% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +48.0% vs +32.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PRIM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PRIM would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PRIM's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $106.16 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $129.75 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $166.83 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $233.57 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $389.31 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PRIM's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PRIM has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +29.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 7 | 10.4% | +98.5% | +1791.7% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 7 | 13.9% | +81.2% | +1806.6% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 3 | 7.6% | +10.7% | +522.5% |
| Mar 2015 | Nov 2015 | 35 | 17.8% | +33.8% | +551.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 9.6% | +14.1% | +447.0% |
| May 2016 | Nov 2016 | 26 | 23.3% | +14.6% | +430.6% |
| Jan 2017 | Jan 2017 | 1 | 0.5% | +17.9% | +387.8% |
| Apr 2017 | May 2017 | 3 | 2.1% | +17.3% | +384.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 3 | 4.8% | -4.7% | +385.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2020 | 61 | 19.8% | +2.3% | +389.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 48.4% | +78.7% | +461.4% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 2.3% | -2.8% | +365.2% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.2% | +9.0% | +355.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jan 2023 | 29 | 28.2% | +35.1% | +370.4% |
| Average | 16 | — | +29.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRIM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Primoris Services Corporation (PRIM) is currently 55.3% above its 200-week moving average of $65.24. It would need to fall to $65.24 to cross below the line.
What is PRIM's 200-week moving average price?
Primoris Services Corporation's 200-week moving average is $65.24 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PRIM drops below its 200-week moving average?
PRIM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +29.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is PRIM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PRIM as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 2.3%. Return on equity is 15.9%. Price-to-book is 3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PRIM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17 years, $100 invested in PRIM would have grown to $1527, compared to $1023 for the S&P 500. That's 17.4% annualized vs 14.7% for the index. PRIM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19