PRGO
Perrigo Company plc Consumer Staples - OTC Healthcare Investor Relations →
Perrigo Company plc (PRGO) closed at $10.11 as of 2026-07-31, trading 57.6% below its 200-week moving average of $23.85. This places PRGO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -57.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1758 weeks of data, PRGO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 92 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PRGO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $1399 million, PRGO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -52.2%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.2% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PRGO would have grown to $63, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. PRGO has returned -1.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -11.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PRGO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PRGO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying PRGO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.9% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +22.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +69.0% vs +33.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PRGO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PRGO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PRGO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $7.47 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $8.59 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $10.09 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $12.23 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $15.53 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PRGO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PRGO has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1994 | Aug 1997 | 177 | 51.3% | -45.2% | -32.1% |
| Jan 1998 | Mar 1998 | 10 | 19.8% | -26.5% | +16.4% |
| May 1998 | Feb 2001 | 144 | 47.9% | -32.4% | +22.0% |
| Jun 2005 | Nov 2005 | 25 | 12.8% | +18.8% | -0.7% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 3 | 3.2% | +18.1% | -4.0% |
| May 2006 | May 2006 | 1 | 5.4% | +38.7% | -4.4% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 4.7% | +40.4% | -6.6% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 3 | 2.1% | +42.4% | -9.8% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 4 | 13.2% | +148.4% | -32.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Ongoing | 547+ | 65.4% | Ongoing | -90.5% |
| Average | 92 | — | +22.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRGO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Perrigo Company plc (PRGO) is trading 57.6% below its 200-week moving average of $23.85. The current price is $10.11.
What is PRGO's 200-week moving average price?
Perrigo Company plc's 200-week moving average is $23.85 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PRGO drops below its 200-week moving average?
PRGO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 92 weeks on average.
Is PRGO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PRGO as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow yield is 7.8%. Return on equity is -52.2%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PRGO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in PRGO would have grown to $63, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's -1.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PRGO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PRGO pay a dividend?
Yes. Perrigo Company plc currently pays a dividend yield of 1125.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31