PRDO
Perdoceo Education Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Education Services Investor Relations →
Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) closed at $31.81 as of 2026-07-31, trading 40.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.63. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 34.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1439 weeks of data, PRDO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PRDO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.5%.
With a market cap of $1995 million, PRDO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 17.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.0% over the past three years. PRDO passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 27.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PRDO would have grown to $926, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. PRDO has returned 8.4% annualized vs 8.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PRDO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PRDO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying PRDO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +18.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.9% vs +28.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PRDO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PRDO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PRDO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $29.72 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $33.63 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $38.74 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $45.68 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $55.65 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PRDO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PRDO has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +10.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1999 | Nov 1999 | 10 | 17.9% | +160.3% | +937.4% |
| Apr 2000 | Apr 2000 | 1 | 1.8% | +241.1% | +867.9% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 3 | 4.7% | +28.4% | +26.6% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 2 | 2.7% | +17.3% | +7.7% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.7% | -30.7% | -0.2% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 1 | 1.9% | -35.9% | +0.2% |
| Dec 2005 | Mar 2006 | 15 | 13.4% | -25.8% | -2.2% |
| May 2006 | Oct 2009 | 180 | 62.0% | +11.5% | +6.3% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 2 | 15.7% | -15.8% | +62.6% |
| Dec 2009 | Feb 2010 | 9 | 12.9% | -12.4% | +51.9% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 9.9% | +0.2% | +56.9% |
| Aug 2010 | Feb 2011 | 27 | 28.7% | -13.8% | +64.8% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 3 | 9.0% | -63.2% | +54.3% |
| Apr 2011 | Jul 2011 | 12 | 10.3% | -67.9% | +55.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Mar 2016 | 240 | 86.6% | -82.6% | +91.3% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 8 | 32.5% | +15.1% | +207.1% |
| Aug 2020 | Nov 2022 | 114 | 29.2% | -20.0% | +149.6% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 1 | 1.9% | +27.2% | +151.3% |
| Feb 2023 | Apr 2023 | 7 | 3.8% | +29.9% | +149.3% |
| Apr 2023 | Jul 2023 | 12 | 11.3% | +48.1% | +161.0% |
| Average | 32 | — | +10.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PRDO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Perdoceo Education Corporation (PRDO) is currently 40.6% above its 200-week moving average of $22.63. It would need to fall to $22.63 to cross below the line.
What is PRDO's 200-week moving average price?
Perdoceo Education Corporation's 200-week moving average is $22.63 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PRDO drops below its 200-week moving average?
PRDO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is PRDO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PRDO as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 9.7%. Return on equity is 17.3%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PRDO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.6 years, $100 invested in PRDO would have grown to $926, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That's 8.4% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. PRDO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PRDO pay a dividend?
Yes. Perdoceo Education Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 189.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31