PPL
PPL Corporation Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
PPL Corporation (PPL) closed at $35.21 as of 2026-07-31, trading 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $29.58. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 22.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 36, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, PPL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PPL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.3%.
Return on equity stands at 8.3%.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PPL would have grown to $1386, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. PPL has returned 8.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PPL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PPL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying PPL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.1% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.0% vs +37.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PPL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. PPL currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PPL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PPL has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +20.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1981 | Nov 1981 | 36 | 11.9% | +9.8% | +7488.4% |
| Dec 1981 | Feb 1982 | 9 | 2.2% | +21.2% | +7211.5% |
| Jun 1982 | Jul 1982 | 1 | 0.0% | +20.0% | +7054.8% |
| May 1994 | Aug 1995 | 66 | 16.8% | -11.6% | +1513.4% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 4 | 3.9% | +28.1% | +1336.0% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 0.2% | +109.2% | +999.1% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 7 | 8.1% | +117.7% | +992.5% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 1 | 1.2% | +47.4% | +590.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 3 | 7.6% | +44.5% | +604.5% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 8.8% | +40.2% | +568.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2011 | 158 | 30.1% | +4.8% | +183.3% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 1.1% | +3.3% | +156.3% |
| Jan 2012 | Feb 2012 | 4 | 2.2% | +8.4% | +157.7% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2012 | 1 | 0.9% | +25.6% | +166.9% |
| Dec 2017 | Oct 2018 | 45 | 16.7% | -3.3% | +64.4% |
| Nov 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.9% | +17.4% | +60.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 7.0% | +32.9% | +70.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.6% | +22.3% | +58.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 3.0% | -13.3% | +60.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 9 | 3.6% | -12.0% | +55.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 34.0% | -7.7% | +52.8% |
| Dec 2020 | Mar 2021 | 12 | 6.6% | +8.3% | +54.4% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 4 | 1.9% | +14.0% | +56.8% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 4.7% | +10.0% | +58.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 8.2% | -3.7% | +57.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.1% | +7.5% | +49.7% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 2.4% | +14.5% | +51.1% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 3 | 1.0% | +10.1% | +47.7% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 15 | 10.2% | +22.0% | +49.4% |
| Average | 15 | — | +20.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPL below its 200-week moving average?
No. PPL Corporation (PPL) is currently 19.0% above its 200-week moving average of $29.58. It would need to fall to $29.58 to cross below the line.
What is PPL's 200-week moving average price?
PPL Corporation's 200-week moving average is $29.58 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PPL drops below its 200-week moving average?
PPL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is PPL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PPL as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 36. Return on equity is 8.3%. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PPL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in PPL would have grown to $1386, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 8.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PPL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PPL pay a dividend?
Yes. PPL Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 321.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31