PPG

PPG Industries Inc. Materials - Paints & Coatings Investor Relations →

NO
0.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 1.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $117.72
14-Week RSI 65
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.10

PPG Industries Inc. (PPG) closed at $118.25 as of 2026-06-19, trading 0.5% above its 200-week moving average of $117.72. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 1.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.10 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2365 weeks of data, PPG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PPG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.2%.

With a market cap of $26.4 billion, PPG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 20.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.

PPG is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 235.00%. Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 5.0% reduction over three years.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PPG would have grown to $1715, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PPG has returned 8.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: PPG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After PPG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 34 historical episodes, buying PPG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.2% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +6.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +13.8% vs +20.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PPG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PPG would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -0.55σ
Current FCF Yield 4.84%
Baseline Yield 5.37%
Historical σ 0.34pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where PPG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$96.46Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$102.60Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$109.57Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$117.57Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$126.82Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from PPG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation +1.23σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.88σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -1.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 1th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -1.1pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (+1.8pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

PPG has crossed below its 200-week MA 38 times with an average 1-year return of +10.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 1981Nov 198167.9%+3.8%+15245.1%
Nov 1981Nov 198110.7%+25.6%+15196.6%
Dec 1981Aug 19823523.5%+27.7%+15542.1%
Oct 1990Nov 199043.9%+29.9%+2902.3%
Feb 1999Mar 199922.7%+2.1%+800.0%
Mar 1999Apr 199949.1%+0.6%+797.8%
Jan 2000Apr 20016432.2%-8.8%+732.7%
Jun 2001Jul 200142.2%+12.7%+721.4%
Sep 2001Nov 2001921.9%+7.4%+719.8%
Dec 2001Feb 20021112.4%+0.4%+745.4%
Sep 2002Dec 20021212.2%+17.4%+794.4%
Jan 2003May 20031510.5%+23.3%+736.6%
Jan 2008Jan 200810.7%-30.8%+467.2%
Feb 2008Mar 200856.1%-47.7%+463.4%
May 2008May 200811.1%-24.8%+462.5%
Jun 2008Aug 2008911.4%-22.9%+465.6%
Sep 2008Sep 20095049.8%-1.6%+458.9%
Sep 2009Oct 200910.0%+34.4%+482.0%
Oct 2009Nov 200910.0%+40.6%+480.3%
Oct 2016Nov 201652.6%+22.8%+51.5%
Nov 2016Dec 201610.7%+24.5%+49.5%
Dec 2016Jan 201731.2%+24.7%+49.3%
May 2018May 201812.9%+13.7%+38.1%
May 2018Jun 201811.0%+4.4%+35.4%
Jul 2018Jul 201810.3%+16.5%+34.1%
Oct 2018Oct 201838.3%+27.5%+44.6%
Dec 2018Jan 201956.5%+35.1%+36.7%
Feb 2020Jun 20201824.8%+31.5%+28.3%
Mar 2022Mar 202212.9%+6.9%+7.9%
May 2022May 202224.1%+15.1%+6.0%
Jun 2022Jul 2022612.1%+22.9%+11.4%
Aug 2022Nov 20221012.6%+17.0%+3.8%
Dec 2022Jan 202331.1%+20.1%+1.3%
Jan 2023Feb 202331.3%+14.5%+0.4%
Mar 2023Mar 202334.1%+13.8%+1.0%
Sep 2023Nov 202387.6%-0.8%-3.1%
Apr 2024Feb 20269523.8%-23.4%-7.1%
Mar 2026Jun 20261418.1%N/A+11.5%
Average11+10.2%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PPG below its 200-week moving average?

No. PPG Industries Inc. (PPG) is currently 0.5% above its 200-week moving average of $117.72. It would need to fall to $117.72 to cross below the line.

What is PPG's 200-week moving average price?

PPG Industries Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $117.72 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when PPG drops below its 200-week moving average?

PPG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.

Is PPG a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about PPG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 65. Free cash flow yield is 2.8%. Return on equity is 20.7%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does PPG compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PPG would have grown to $1715, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 8.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PPG has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does PPG pay a dividend?

Yes. PPG Industries Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 235.00%. It is also a Dividend Aristocrat, meaning it has raised its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19