PPC
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Consumer Staples - Poultry Investor Relations →
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) closed at $27.32 as of 2026-06-19, trading 13.5% below its 200-week moving average of $31.59. This places PPC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -4.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, PPC is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1959 weeks of data, PPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PPC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +30.6%.
With a market cap of $6.5 billion, PPC is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 25.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PPC would have grown to $864, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PPC has returned 6.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PPC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PPC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying PPC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +38.7% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +72.5% vs +33.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PPC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PPC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PPC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $27.19 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $30.36 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $34.38 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $39.62 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $46.75 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PPC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PPC has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +30.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1990 | Jan 1990 | 1 | 9.2% | +21.9% | +1079.7% |
| Jul 1990 | Jan 1991 | 25 | 26.0% | +6.7% | +985.0% |
| Aug 1991 | Oct 1991 | 8 | 7.5% | +10.4% | +955.2% |
| Nov 1991 | Jun 1992 | 31 | 26.4% | +7.0% | +1016.0% |
| Aug 1992 | Jan 1993 | 19 | 23.7% | +7.8% | +926.2% |
| Nov 1993 | Nov 1993 | 1 | 0.7% | +43.9% | +883.8% |
| Dec 1993 | Jan 1994 | 6 | 2.3% | +36.7% | +883.8% |
| Jun 1994 | Jul 1994 | 2 | 4.7% | +13.3% | +878.0% |
| Oct 1995 | Jun 1996 | 34 | 14.0% | +5.8% | +791.6% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 1 | 0.7% | +49.3% | +771.6% |
| Oct 1996 | Oct 1996 | 1 | 0.6% | +86.0% | +756.2% |
| Sep 1999 | Jan 2001 | 71 | 35.9% | -20.2% | +393.0% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 6.4% | +42.8% | +345.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Jun 2003 | 48 | 43.7% | +35.3% | +367.0% |
| Apr 2006 | Apr 2006 | 2 | 3.1% | +60.5% | +103.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2012 | 230 | 99.1% | -91.2% | +52.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Nov 2012 | 18 | 26.6% | +184.5% | +661.9% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 4 | 3.4% | +94.9% | +77.4% |
| Jan 2017 | Jan 2017 | 3 | 1.0% | +59.9% | +73.7% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2019 | 51 | 30.2% | +13.5% | +41.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2021 | 53 | 37.2% | +5.8% | +52.4% |
| May 2021 | Aug 2021 | 10 | 9.0% | +47.9% | +39.2% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 1.5% | +7.1% | +42.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 6 | 12.3% | -5.2% | +34.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 5.2% | +7.1% | +31.5% |
| Jan 2023 | Jul 2023 | 23 | 14.7% | +12.1% | +33.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 3 | 5.1% | +83.1% | +41.4% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 7+ | 13.5% | Ongoing | -6.1% |
| Average | 24 | — | +30.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PPC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Pilgrim's Pride Corporation (PPC) is trading 13.5% below its 200-week moving average of $31.59. The current price is $27.32.
What is PPC's 200-week moving average price?
Pilgrim's Pride Corporation's 200-week moving average is $31.59 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PPC drops below its 200-week moving average?
PPC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +30.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is PPC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PPC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 25.8%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PPC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PPC would have grown to $864, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 6.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PPC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19