POST
Post Holdings, Inc. Consumer Staples - Packaged Foods Investor Relations →
Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) closed at $96.72 as of 2026-03-20, trading 2.5% below its 200-week moving average of $99.16. This places POST in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -0.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.7x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.16 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 690 weeks of data, POST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 5 weeks. Historically, investors who bought POST at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +32.6%.
With a market cap of $5.0 billion, POST is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 8.7%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 13.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in POST would have grown to $416, compared to $576 for the S&P 500. POST has returned 11.3% annualized vs 14.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $24,495,489. Notably, these purchases occurred while POST is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 56.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: POST vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After POST Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying POST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.2% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +19.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.6% vs +27.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment POST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
POST has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +32.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2014 | Dec 2014 | 17 | 20.7% | +55.2% | +294.8% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | 1.3% | +41.8% | +271.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 19.1% | +17.4% | +70.0% |
| Apr 2020 | Oct 2020 | 23 | 8.4% | +28.1% | +66.4% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 5.7% | +18.1% | +72.0% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | +11.9% | +63.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 0.3% | +50.3% | +51.8% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 1.5% | +38.1% | +50.0% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.9% | N/A | +0.8% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 2.5% | Ongoing | -1.8% |
| Average | 5 | — | +32.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POST below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Post Holdings, Inc. (POST) is trading 2.5% below its 200-week moving average of $99.16. The current price is $96.72.
What is POST's 200-week moving average price?
Post Holdings, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $99.16 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when POST drops below its 200-week moving average?
POST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +32.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 5 weeks on average.
Is POST a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about POST as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 5.1%. Return on equity is 8.7%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does POST compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.3 years, $100 invested in POST would have grown to $416, compared to $576 for the S&P 500. That's 11.3% annualized vs 14.0% for the index. POST has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20