POOL
Pool Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Leisure Products Investor Relations →
Pool Corporation (POOL) closed at $266.16 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.7% below its 200-week moving average of $331.50. This places POOL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -23.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1534 weeks of data, POOL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought POOL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.6%.
With a market cap of $9.9 billion, POOL is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.0%. Return on equity stands at 29.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 29.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in POOL would have grown to $20815, compared to $1678 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 19.8% vs 10.0% for the index — confirming POOL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 29.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: POOL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After POOL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying POOL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.6% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +21.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.5% vs +38.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment POOL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
POOL has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +22.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 0.5% | +131.4% | +18117.5% |
| Aug 2007 | Apr 2010 | 139 | 61.6% | -28.3% | +957.7% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 3.1% | +31.8% | +1311.1% |
| May 2010 | Nov 2010 | 26 | 16.0% | +20.9% | +1295.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +11.3% | -11.0% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 4 | 10.2% | +13.5% | -9.4% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 6.9% | +26.9% | -11.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 4 | 3.1% | +29.6% | -15.0% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 5 | 4.7% | +11.8% | -18.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 0.2% | -0.3% | -21.3% |
| Sep 2023 | Dec 2023 | 14 | 13.4% | +0.4% | -20.1% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 95+ | 31.5% | Ongoing | -24.3% |
| Average | 25 | — | +22.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02