PNW

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric Investor Relations →

NO
25.3% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 24.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $74.64
14-Week RSI 68

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) closed at $93.52 as of 2026-02-02, trading 25.3% above its 200-week moving average of $74.64. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 24.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2715 weeks of data, PNW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PNW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.6%.

With a market cap of $11.2 billion, PNW is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.8%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.

Share count has increased 5.5% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PNW would have grown to $1828, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. PNW has returned 9.2% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: PNW vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After PNW Crosses Below the Line?

Across 18 historical episodes, buying PNW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +19.3% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +9.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.2% vs +20.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PNW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

PNW has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +10.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1974Jan 197610334.5%-26.5%+2416.8%
Feb 1976Jul 1976238.4%+16.2%+2900.8%
May 1979May 197910.0%-4.1%+2535.9%
Oct 1979Jun 19803622.8%-6.6%+2483.5%
Jun 1980Nov 19817118.8%-9.3%+2500.7%
Feb 1982Feb 198210.6%+30.1%+2572.0%
Dec 1983Sep 19844019.6%+17.1%+2466.5%
Oct 1984Nov 198441.9%+24.8%+2323.0%
May 1988Jun 198854.2%-38.1%+1719.6%
Jul 1988Nov 199117373.2%-42.5%+1729.2%
May 1994May 199410.8%+39.0%+2050.3%
Jun 1994Jul 199423.9%+58.6%+2116.5%
Sep 1994Sep 199411.4%+54.7%+2010.0%
Nov 1999Apr 20002222.7%+45.2%+814.3%
Jun 2000Jul 200010.9%+44.7%+753.9%
Jul 2002May 20034434.9%+15.0%+694.2%
Jul 2003Sep 200354.6%+24.7%+649.3%
Jul 2007Aug 200726.2%-13.5%+455.7%
Oct 2007Nov 200710.1%-15.2%+430.6%
Jan 2008Nov 20099535.1%-10.3%+434.9%
Mar 2020Jul 20201718.2%+28.4%+85.3%
Aug 2020Oct 2020811.7%+6.5%+52.7%
Dec 2020Mar 20211411.7%-13.2%+47.9%
Aug 2021Mar 20223117.5%+3.0%+47.9%
Apr 2022May 202247.1%+15.6%+56.6%
Jun 2022Aug 2022813.2%+14.9%+49.5%
Aug 2022Nov 20221218.8%+6.2%+45.5%
Jan 2024Mar 202473.2%+30.2%+47.7%
Average26+10.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02