PNR
Pentair plc Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
Pentair plc (PNR) closed at $74.32 as of 2026-06-19, trading 5.1% below its 200-week moving average of $78.30. This places PNR in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -5.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.74 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2724 weeks of data, PNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 47 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PNR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.1%.
With a market cap of $12.0 billion, PNR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.8%. Return on equity stands at 17.6%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.
PNR is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PNR would have grown to $2737, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PNR has returned 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 38.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PNR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PNR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying PNR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.4% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +1.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.9% vs +11.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PNR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PNR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PNR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $67.94 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $73.17 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $79.26 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $86.46 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $95.10 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PNR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PNR has crossed below its 200-week MA 47 times with an average 1-year return of +9.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Apr 1974 | 3 | 9.1% | -48.5% | +15364.3% |
| Jun 1974 | Feb 1976 | 87 | 49.3% | -52.0% | +13921.0% |
| Mar 1980 | Jul 1980 | 16 | 10.0% | +53.9% | +8115.4% |
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 1 | 0.1% | +16.4% | +7411.2% |
| Sep 1981 | Sep 1981 | 1 | 3.9% | +15.4% | +6957.5% |
| Oct 1981 | Nov 1981 | 1 | 4.0% | +20.7% | +6910.5% |
| Dec 1981 | Jan 1982 | 4 | 6.5% | -1.9% | +6597.9% |
| Feb 1982 | Aug 1982 | 29 | 32.5% | +21.3% | +6910.5% |
| Dec 1982 | Jan 1983 | 4 | 3.2% | +35.6% | +6957.5% |
| Jul 1986 | Jan 1987 | 25 | 17.2% | -2.2% | +4615.6% |
| Mar 1987 | Mar 1988 | 53 | 38.8% | +0.9% | +4658.2% |
| May 1988 | Jun 1988 | 3 | 3.6% | +10.2% | +4768.4% |
| Jun 1989 | Jul 1989 | 1 | 6.3% | +3.7% | +4813.9% |
| Oct 1989 | Jan 1990 | 12 | 9.8% | -15.2% | +4553.0% |
| Jun 1990 | Feb 1991 | 34 | 23.9% | +31.2% | +4594.5% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 1.4% | -25.5% | +961.0% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 6 | 5.9% | -28.2% | +943.8% |
| Jun 2000 | May 2001 | 46 | 38.1% | -2.5% | +906.5% |
| Jun 2001 | Jul 2001 | 6 | 6.5% | +38.2% | +918.5% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 8 | 16.9% | +33.7% | +1101.2% |
| Jan 2002 | Jan 2002 | 1 | 5.3% | +6.6% | +956.4% |
| Feb 2002 | Feb 2002 | 1 | 0.0% | +6.6% | +903.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2003 | 17 | 11.5% | +18.8% | +865.1% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 2.9% | +55.3% | +895.8% |
| Jul 2006 | Oct 2006 | 13 | 13.5% | +29.7% | +460.5% |
| Jan 2007 | Feb 2007 | 6 | 4.6% | +11.3% | +424.6% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2007 | 8 | 6.9% | +7.2% | +407.5% |
| Sep 2007 | Oct 2007 | 6 | 4.5% | +12.4% | +367.9% |
| Nov 2007 | Dec 2007 | 3 | 1.9% | -29.1% | +362.9% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2008 | 15 | 19.1% | -23.2% | +371.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 5 | 7.3% | -16.2% | +349.3% |
| Jul 2008 | Aug 2008 | 1 | 2.1% | -17.3% | +353.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Oct 2009 | 53 | 44.7% | -8.9% | +375.4% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 4.5% | +15.0% | +411.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 1.8% | +47.9% | +370.9% |
| Aug 2015 | Apr 2016 | 35 | 23.5% | +16.6% | +136.3% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +14.7% | +125.0% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 1.2% | +16.1% | +124.3% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.3% | +11.2% | +117.2% |
| Oct 2016 | Mar 2017 | 22 | 8.4% | +21.8% | +119.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 4.2% | -2.4% | +113.3% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 8.0% | +14.9% | +108.5% |
| Apr 2019 | Oct 2019 | 27 | 12.2% | -15.6% | +115.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 20 | 41.4% | +44.5% | +105.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 7 | 10.0% | +25.9% | +63.5% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 22 | 19.3% | +47.7% | +68.8% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 7+ | 9.1% | Ongoing | -3.3% |
| Average | 13 | — | +9.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNR below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Pentair plc (PNR) is trading 5.1% below its 200-week moving average of $78.30. The current price is $74.32.
What is PNR's 200-week moving average price?
Pentair plc's 200-week moving average is $78.30 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PNR drops below its 200-week moving average?
PNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 47 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 13 weeks on average.
Is PNR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PNR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 4.8%. Return on equity is 17.6%. Price-to-book is 3.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PNR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PNR would have grown to $2737, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PNR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19