PNFP
Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (PNFP) closed at $96.12 as of 2026-06-19, trading 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $85.19. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 13.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 74, PNFP is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1299 weeks of data, PNFP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PNFP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.9%.
With a market cap of $14.5 billion, PNFP is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.2%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Over the past 25 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PNFP would have grown to $2945, compared to $966 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 9.5% for the index — confirming PNFP as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 8 open-market purchases totaling $3,622,039. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PNFP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PNFP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying PNFP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +6.5% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +5.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +38.8% vs +26.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PNFP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PNFP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PNFP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-14.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $80.35 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $84.85 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $89.90 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $95.57 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $102.02 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PNFP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PNFP has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +4.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 4.4% | +66.4% | +3096.8% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 1 | 0.6% | +55.0% | +2968.0% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 8.7% | +9.0% | +366.2% |
| Dec 2007 | Apr 2008 | 16 | 18.7% | +5.8% | +334.2% |
| May 2008 | Sep 2008 | 18 | 25.9% | -25.3% | +320.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 9.8% | -51.6% | +342.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 2 | 10.8% | -54.8% | +329.6% |
| Dec 2008 | Jan 2012 | 164 | 60.9% | -54.2% | +318.8% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 0.4% | +33.9% | +567.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 18 | 20.1% | +1.5% | +87.9% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 7 | 8.9% | -9.3% | +83.6% |
| May 2019 | Jul 2019 | 9 | 7.7% | -37.8% | +86.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Oct 2019 | 11 | 10.2% | -29.3% | +83.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 39 | 42.6% | +56.4% | +96.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 19 | 32.2% | +41.6% | +67.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 13 | 13.1% | +39.2% | +49.3% |
| Jun 2024 | Jun 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | +37.3% | +31.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 3 | 1.6% | N/A | +16.5% |
| Average | 18 | — | +4.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNFP below its 200-week moving average?
No. Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (PNFP) is currently 12.8% above its 200-week moving average of $85.19. It would need to fall to $85.19 to cross below the line.
What is PNFP's 200-week moving average price?
Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $85.19 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PNFP drops below its 200-week moving average?
PNFP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is PNFP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PNFP as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 74 (overbought). Return on equity is 6.2%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PNFP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 25 years, $100 invested in PNFP would have grown to $2945, compared to $966 for the S&P 500. That's 14.5% annualized vs 9.5% for the index. PNFP has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PNFP pay a dividend?
Yes. Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 151.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19