PJT
PJT Partners Inc. Financial Services - Advisory Investor Relations →
PJT Partners Inc. (PJT) closed at $163.21 as of 2026-09-11, trading 31.3% above its 200-week moving average of $124.34. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 47.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 54, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 524 weeks of data, PJT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 2 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PJT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +50.9%.
With a market cap of $7.0 billion, PJT is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 37.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 13.4x book value.
Over the past 10.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PJT would have grown to $728, compared to $413 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.6% vs 15.0% for the index — confirming PJT as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PJT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PJT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying PJT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.4% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +26.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +83.2% vs +57.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PJT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PJT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PJT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $161.36 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $168.78 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $176.92 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $185.88 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $195.80 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | $1.57 | $1.97 | +25.6% |
| 2026-04-28 | $1.53 | $1.54 | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-03 | $2.40 | $2.55 | +6.4% |
| 2025-11-04 | $1.40 | $1.85 | +32.1% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PJT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PJT has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +50.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 1.0% | +50.0% | +653.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 1.8% | +22.8% | +397.3% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 1.3% | +48.9% | +386.5% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 2 | 1.6% | +40.9% | +386.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 3 | 32.2% | +91.9% | +369.7% |
| Average | 2 | — | +50.9% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PJT below its 200-week moving average?
No. PJT Partners Inc. (PJT) is currently 31.3% above its 200-week moving average of $124.34. It would need to fall to $124.34 to cross below the line.
What is PJT's 200-week moving average price?
PJT Partners Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $124.34 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PJT drops below its 200-week moving average?
PJT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +50.9%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 2 weeks on average.
Is PJT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PJT as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 54. Return on equity is 37.6%. Price-to-book is 13.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PJT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.2 years, $100 invested in PJT would have grown to $728, compared to $413 for the S&P 500. That's 21.6% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. PJT has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PJT pay a dividend?
Yes. PJT Partners Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 58.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11