PFE
Pfizer Inc. Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Investor Relations →
Pfizer Inc. (PFE) closed at $27.22 as of 2026-02-02, trading 6.4% below its 200-week moving average of $29.08. This places PFE in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -9.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 80, PFE is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2753 weeks of data, PFE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 39 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PFE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.8%.
With a market cap of $154.8 billion, PFE is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.6%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PFE would have grown to $1557, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. PFE has returned 8.6% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -30.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: PFE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PFE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying PFE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -1.0% after 12 months (median -13.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +19.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PFE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PFE has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +11.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jun 1973 | 4 | 5.3% | -17.3% | +18543.2% |
| Nov 1973 | Dec 1973 | 4 | 9.4% | -23.2% | +17541.7% |
| Jan 1974 | Jan 1978 | 210 | 45.1% | -20.8% | +19713.1% |
| Feb 1978 | Mar 1978 | 4 | 3.1% | +23.0% | +25134.0% |
| Nov 1987 | Jan 1988 | 8 | 16.6% | +18.9% | +4829.3% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 1 | 0.2% | +20.2% | +4622.4% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 3 | 4.6% | +31.9% | +4577.3% |
| Jun 1988 | Sep 1988 | 12 | 4.0% | +15.7% | +4452.4% |
| Feb 1990 | Feb 1990 | 1 | 1.8% | +85.7% | +3812.4% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 1 | 0.7% | +109.4% | +3760.9% |
| Feb 1994 | May 1994 | 11 | 8.3% | +45.9% | +1630.9% |
| Jul 1994 | Jul 1994 | 1 | 0.9% | +57.9% | +1542.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 3 | 5.0% | -15.8% | +101.3% |
| Apr 2002 | Jan 2004 | 95 | 31.3% | -12.3% | +94.9% |
| Mar 2004 | Apr 2004 | 5 | 6.3% | -23.5% | +102.7% |
| Apr 2004 | Aug 2006 | 122 | 30.4% | -22.2% | +100.0% |
| Oct 2006 | Apr 2007 | 27 | 7.6% | -6.8% | +143.9% |
| Jun 2007 | Dec 2010 | 183 | 40.8% | -27.9% | +153.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Apr 2020 | 6 | 16.3% | +10.0% | +14.8% |
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2020 | 5 | 7.5% | +30.6% | +12.5% |
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 6 | 5.3% | -31.3% | -16.1% |
| Jun 2023 | Ongoing | 138+ | 36.7% | Ongoing | -15.7% |
| Average | 39 | — | +11.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02