PEP
PepsiCo Inc. Consumer Staples - Beverages Investor Relations →
PepsiCo Inc. (PEP) closed at $170.49 as of 2026-02-02, trading 10.6% above its 200-week moving average of $154.14. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -0.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, PEP is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2753 weeks of data, PEP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PEP at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.9%.
With a market cap of $233.1 billion, PEP is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 42.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 11.4x book value.
PEP is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 334.00%.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PEP would have grown to $1916, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. PEP has returned 9.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 11% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: PEP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PEP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying PEP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.9% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +17.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +48.9% vs +25.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PEP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PEP has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +16.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1973 | Jul 1973 | 11 | 5.5% | -30.1% | +46427.6% |
| Aug 1973 | Sep 1973 | 5 | 5.3% | -47.2% | +47644.2% |
| Nov 1973 | May 1975 | 78 | 57.8% | -47.1% | +46104.5% |
| Jun 1975 | Oct 1975 | 16 | 15.9% | +16.3% | +55611.3% |
| Feb 1979 | Feb 1979 | 1 | 0.2% | +2.4% | +45769.2% |
| Feb 1979 | Mar 1979 | 1 | 1.0% | -7.5% | +46009.4% |
| Apr 1979 | Jun 1979 | 6 | 6.2% | +7.1% | +45288.9% |
| Jul 1979 | Jul 1979 | 1 | 2.0% | +9.9% | +45441.1% |
| Oct 1979 | Nov 1979 | 2 | 2.4% | +13.5% | +44736.2% |
| Jan 1980 | Jan 1980 | 1 | 4.6% | +32.7% | +45430.8% |
| Feb 1980 | Apr 1980 | 12 | 15.6% | +34.5% | +44704.2% |
| Jun 1994 | Oct 1994 | 19 | 10.7% | +53.7% | +2426.6% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 2 | 0.7% | +67.4% | +2160.9% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 4 | 5.0% | +44.2% | +940.8% |
| Nov 1999 | Nov 1999 | 1 | 0.5% | +49.6% | +903.5% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 2 | 2.7% | +34.4% | +896.1% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 9.0% | +43.7% | +911.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 2 | 12.0% | +32.7% | +785.7% |
| Aug 2002 | Oct 2002 | 6 | 11.3% | +14.3% | +710.7% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 1 | 0.6% | +16.0% | +671.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Apr 2003 | 12 | 8.2% | +15.0% | +675.1% |
| Oct 2008 | Sep 2009 | 51 | 22.2% | +8.3% | +395.2% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 0.3% | +11.3% | +361.3% |
| May 2018 | May 2018 | 2 | 1.3% | +35.8% | +121.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 5.7% | +33.3% | +95.7% |
| Nov 2024 | Nov 2024 | 1 | 0.5% | -4.5% | +12.7% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 62+ | 18.7% | Ongoing | +13.3% |
| Average | 11 | — | +16.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02