PENN
Penn Entertainment Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Casinos Investor Relations →
Penn Entertainment Inc. (PENN) closed at $13.41 as of 2026-02-02, trading 41.4% below its 200-week moving average of $22.89. This places PENN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -44.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1606 weeks of data, PENN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 34 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PENN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +82.0%.
With a market cap of $1958 million, PENN is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -36.1%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 30.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PENN would have grown to $6778, compared to $2205 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.7% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming PENN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: PENN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PENN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying PENN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +91.3% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +125.9% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PENN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PENN has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +82.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1997 | Dec 1997 | 1 | 4.1% | -20.0% | +2611.4% |
| May 1998 | Apr 2000 | 101 | 45.5% | -3.3% | +2397.4% |
| Dec 2000 | Jan 2001 | 4 | 14.8% | +188.5% | +2364.9% |
| Jun 2008 | Jan 2011 | 135 | 68.3% | -21.4% | +60.1% |
| Feb 2011 | Feb 2011 | 1 | 1.2% | +22.2% | +70.2% |
| Mar 2011 | Mar 2011 | 1 | 1.4% | +25.6% | +71.4% |
| Jul 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 1.4% | +87.4% | +31.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Dec 2016 | 13 | 13.5% | +67.7% | -0.4% |
| Dec 2016 | Feb 2017 | 8 | 5.5% | +127.2% | -2.8% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 12.6% | +40.2% | -25.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 2 | 4.3% | -60.9% | -33.6% |
| Apr 2019 | Oct 2019 | 26 | 17.5% | -22.3% | -33.0% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 64.7% | +743.4% | -13.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Feb 2022 | 4 | 8.8% | -26.3% | -69.8% |
| Mar 2022 | Ongoing | 205+ | 68.0% | Ongoing | -68.6% |
| Average | 34 | — | +82.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02