PEGA
Pegasystems Inc. Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) closed at $43.42 as of 2026-03-20, trading 28.2% above its 200-week moving average of $33.87. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 25.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.08 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1500 weeks of data, PEGA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 31 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -3.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $7.4 billion, PEGA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.8%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 57.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.4x book value.
Share count has increased 3.3% over three years, indicating dilution. PEGA passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 28.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PEGA would have grown to $594, compared to $1211 for the S&P 500. PEGA has returned 6.4% annualized vs 9.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PEGA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PEGA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying PEGA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -4.8% after 12 months (median -8.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +4.3% vs +27.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PEGA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PEGA has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +-3.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1997 | Sep 1997 | 1 | 1.0% | -34.6% | +603.1% |
| Oct 1997 | Jun 1998 | 31 | 42.0% | -42.1% | +937.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Feb 2000 | 79 | 82.1% | -63.8% | +661.4% |
| Mar 2000 | Apr 2002 | 108 | 84.0% | -77.9% | +937.7% |
| Apr 2002 | Apr 2002 | 1 | 3.2% | -44.3% | +2425.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Jul 2002 | 1 | 12.0% | +40.8% | +3056.4% |
| Sep 2002 | May 2003 | 36 | 47.3% | +27.3% | +3115.4% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 1 | 5.5% | +41.9% | +2989.5% |
| Aug 2004 | Aug 2004 | 1 | 3.2% | +3.9% | +3083.0% |
| Feb 2005 | Nov 2005 | 39 | 25.2% | +34.4% | +3004.7% |
| Jun 2006 | Aug 2006 | 7 | 7.7% | +56.8% | +2644.7% |
| Jan 2012 | Jan 2012 | 1 | 1.6% | -9.5% | +582.7% |
| Jul 2012 | May 2013 | 44 | 37.0% | +14.8% | +516.1% |
| Apr 2014 | Apr 2014 | 3 | 3.5% | +36.7% | +460.5% |
| Feb 2022 | Oct 2024 | 140 | 66.0% | -41.3% | +6.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 7.9% | N/A | +37.5% |
| Average | 31 | — | +-3.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEGA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) is currently 28.2% above its 200-week moving average of $33.87. It would need to fall to $33.87 to cross below the line.
What is PEGA's 200-week moving average price?
Pegasystems Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $33.87 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PEGA drops below its 200-week moving average?
PEGA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -3.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 31 weeks on average.
Is PEGA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PEGA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 32. Free cash flow yield is 7.8%. Return on equity is 57.3%. Price-to-book is 9.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PEGA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.8 years, $100 invested in PEGA would have grown to $594, compared to $1211 for the S&P 500. That's 6.4% annualized vs 9.0% for the index. PEGA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PEGA pay a dividend?
Yes. Pegasystems Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 28.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20