PEG
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Utilities - Utilities - Regulated Electric Investor Relations →
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG) closed at $79.89 as of 2026-06-19, trading 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $68.53. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2376 weeks of data, PEG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PEG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +27.7%.
With a market cap of $39.8 billion, PEG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.4%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PEG would have grown to $2368, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PEG has returned 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PEG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PEG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying PEG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.9% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +23.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.7% vs +46.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PEG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices PEG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where PEG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $77.54 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $79.21 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $80.96 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $82.78 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $84.69 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from PEG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
PEG has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +27.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1980 | Dec 1980 | 3 | 5.9% | +27.3% | +21352.9% |
| Sep 1994 | Sep 1994 | 3 | 2.7% | +15.6% | +2634.8% |
| Oct 1994 | Oct 1994 | 1 | 0.5% | +27.2% | +2554.0% |
| Nov 1994 | Nov 1994 | 2 | 0.9% | +22.9% | +2554.0% |
| Apr 1996 | May 1996 | 1 | 0.4% | +9.2% | +2255.4% |
| Jun 1996 | Jun 1996 | 1 | 0.5% | +1.8% | +2243.9% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 4 | 3.5% | +64.5% | +2166.6% |
| May 1997 | Jun 1997 | 3 | 1.8% | +45.1% | +2178.2% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 5 | 11.9% | +61.9% | +1505.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Dec 2002 | 24 | 32.7% | +40.8% | +1223.6% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 8 | 6.3% | +37.8% | +1046.4% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2011 | 137 | 30.6% | +2.5% | +385.8% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 3 | 2.2% | +5.2% | +343.5% |
| Jul 2011 | Jul 2011 | 1 | 0.9% | +7.9% | +339.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 9.2% | +18.4% | +380.8% |
| Jan 2012 | Jan 2012 | 1 | 0.1% | +6.4% | +349.4% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2012 | 1 | 0.1% | +22.4% | +354.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 4 | 22.9% | +50.3% | +145.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 0.3% | +36.8% | +105.1% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 4 | 1.4% | +9.4% | +63.7% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 2.7% | +68.8% | +59.7% |
| Average | 10 | — | +27.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PEG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (PEG) is currently 16.6% above its 200-week moving average of $68.53. It would need to fall to $68.53 to cross below the line.
What is PEG's 200-week moving average price?
Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated's 200-week moving average is $68.53 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PEG drops below its 200-week moving average?
PEG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +27.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is PEG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PEG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 13.4%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PEG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PEG would have grown to $2368, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PEG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PEG pay a dividend?
Yes. Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated currently pays a dividend yield of 331.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19