PD
PagerDuty, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) closed at $8.04 as of 2026-02-02, trading 62.4% below its 200-week moving average of $21.39. This places PD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -50.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 12, PD is in oversold territory.
Over the past 308 weeks of data, PD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 62 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $750 million, PD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 66.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Share count has increased 5.0% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PD would have grown to $53, compared to $292 for the S&P 500. PD has returned -10.0% annualized vs 19.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: PD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying PD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.5% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +15.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.2% vs +35.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PD has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 53.5% | +115.9% | -57.8% |
| Nov 2021 | Mar 2022 | 15 | 23.5% | -23.6% | -74.0% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | 52 | 37.9% | +2.2% | -76.5% |
| Apr 2023 | Ongoing | 146+ | 62.4% | Ongoing | -73.3% |
| Average | 62 | — | +31.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02