PD
PagerDuty, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) closed at $6.92 as of 2026-03-20, trading 66.7% below its 200-week moving average of $20.77. This places PD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -66.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 18, PD is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 314 weeks of data, PD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 64 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +31.5%.
With a market cap of $635 million, PD is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 17.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 82.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.2% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 6.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PD would have grown to $46, compared to $275 for the S&P 500. PD has returned -12.0% annualized vs 18.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 129.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying PD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.5% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +15.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +3.2% vs +35.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PD has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +31.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 53.5% | +115.9% | -63.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Mar 2022 | 15 | 23.5% | -23.6% | -77.7% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2023 | 52 | 37.9% | +2.2% | -79.8% |
| Apr 2023 | Ongoing | 152+ | 68.9% | Ongoing | -77.0% |
| Average | 64 | — | +31.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, PagerDuty, Inc. (PD) is trading 66.7% below its 200-week moving average of $20.77. The current price is $6.92.
What is PD's 200-week moving average price?
PagerDuty, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $20.77 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PD drops below its 200-week moving average?
PD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +31.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 64 weeks on average.
Is PD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 18 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 17.6%. Return on equity is 82.5%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 6.1 years, $100 invested in PD would have grown to $46, compared to $275 for the S&P 500. That's -12.0% annualized vs 18.1% for the index. PD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20