PCH
PotlatchDeltic Corporation Real Estate - REIT - Specialty Investor Relations →
PotlatchDeltic Corporation (PCH) closed at $41.73 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.7% above its 200-week moving average of $41.03. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 1.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, PCH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 40 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PCH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.4%.
With a market cap of $3.2 billion, PCH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.7%. Return on equity stands at 3.2%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Share count has increased 13.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PCH would have grown to $889, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. PCH has returned 6.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -46% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: PCH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PCH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 32 historical episodes, buying PCH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.3% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +13.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.8% vs +35.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PCH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PCH has crossed below its 200-week MA 40 times with an average 1-year return of +8.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1981 | Jun 1981 | 1 | 1.2% | -42.4% | +2772.9% |
| Aug 1981 | Nov 1982 | 63 | 42.1% | -36.8% | +2754.0% |
| Aug 1983 | Oct 1983 | 5 | 5.5% | -7.5% | +3137.4% |
| Oct 1983 | Oct 1983 | 1 | 1.2% | -15.4% | +3089.7% |
| Dec 1983 | Dec 1983 | 1 | 0.9% | -15.0% | +3078.1% |
| Jan 1984 | Jan 1985 | 50 | 23.1% | +1.1% | +3101.5% |
| Apr 1985 | Apr 1985 | 1 | 0.3% | +32.0% | +3275.9% |
| Sep 1990 | Jan 1991 | 17 | 24.7% | +24.4% | +1353.6% |
| Apr 1991 | Apr 1991 | 1 | 0.6% | +56.2% | +1360.1% |
| Oct 1994 | Jan 1995 | 11 | 6.5% | +14.7% | +891.1% |
| Jan 1995 | Jan 1995 | 1 | 0.7% | +7.5% | +866.0% |
| Jan 1996 | Jan 1996 | 1 | 1.4% | +20.5% | +818.6% |
| Jun 1996 | Sep 1996 | 14 | 7.2% | +22.2% | +797.1% |
| Jul 1998 | Apr 1999 | 37 | 18.0% | +12.3% | +736.9% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 3 | 2.5% | -11.1% | +697.4% |
| May 2000 | May 2001 | 53 | 19.2% | -1.4% | +677.8% |
| Jun 2001 | Mar 2002 | 37 | 24.2% | +1.2% | +684.7% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 1 | 0.3% | -20.6% | +716.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Sep 2003 | 61 | 37.7% | -10.9% | +749.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 37.1% | +26.5% | +327.3% |
| Aug 2009 | Nov 2009 | 10 | 5.6% | +23.7% | +241.0% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.1% | +19.5% | +237.0% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 1 | 1.5% | +65.0% | +192.9% |
| May 2015 | May 2015 | 1 | 1.3% | +1.6% | +111.3% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 0.2% | +0.8% | +108.4% |
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2016 | 54 | 28.0% | +1.3% | +109.1% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 4.2% | +18.9% | +70.2% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 8 | 16.4% | +25.9% | +71.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 0.5% | +23.5% | +69.1% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2019 | 1 | 1.3% | +13.8% | +70.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 3 | 6.3% | -0.1% | +69.5% |
| Feb 2020 | Jun 2020 | 18 | 31.1% | +43.6% | +56.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +19.3% | +21.8% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.3% | +3.3% | +7.8% |
| Apr 2024 | Sep 2024 | 22 | 14.3% | -7.6% | +2.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Nov 2024 | 8 | 5.3% | +1.1% | +0.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 7 | 12.2% | -1.6% | +3.1% |
| Mar 2025 | Aug 2025 | 18 | 11.2% | N/A | +6.9% |
| Aug 2025 | Oct 2025 | 7 | 6.0% | N/A | +1.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 10 | 5.8% | N/A | +5.5% |
| Average | 14 | — | +8.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02