PCG

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YES
0.5% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was 2.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $16.57
14-Week RSI 38
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.0x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.89

PG&E Corporation (PCG) closed at $16.48 as of 2026-06-19, trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $16.57. This places PCG in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 2.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.89 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2772 weeks of data, PCG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PCG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.5%.

With a market cap of $36.3 billion, PCG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.8%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Share count has increased 10.6% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PCG would have grown to $129, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. PCG has returned 0.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: PCG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After PCG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 22 historical episodes, buying PCG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.2% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +11.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +14.2% vs +28.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PCG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. PCG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score -0.48σ
Current FCF Yield -11.17%
Baseline Yield -10.79%
Historical σ 0.76pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from PCG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -1.23σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.46σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +1.39σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -3.2pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 8th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -3.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-5.1pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

PCG has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +8.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1973Jun 197341.6%-15.4%+1629.9%
Jun 1973Feb 19758527.2%-21.8%+1676.8%
Feb 1975Oct 19753317.3%+1.4%+1840.5%
Dec 1975Dec 197533.9%+24.0%+1833.3%
Feb 1976Mar 197610.1%+26.5%+1813.0%
Dec 1987Jan 198854.4%+23.4%+285.6%
Mar 1988Jul 19882014.8%+22.5%+280.9%
Aug 1988Aug 198822.9%+40.6%+256.1%
Apr 1994Apr 19955118.7%+9.9%+50.7%
Feb 1996Mar 19975619.3%-6.2%+35.2%
Mar 1997Apr 199710.7%+49.3%+39.1%
Apr 1997Apr 199710.0%+45.1%+38.3%
May 1997May 199711.4%+42.4%+40.6%
Oct 1999Apr 20002919.9%+2.8%+14.0%
Jun 2000Jul 200011.3%-53.4%+12.6%
Sep 2000Oct 200024.1%-36.3%+13.5%
Dec 2000Apr 20027073.6%-17.6%+16.6%
May 2002Jun 20035760.0%-19.9%+30.8%
Mar 2008Mar 200832.8%+1.5%-34.2%
Jul 2008Aug 200832.9%+4.2%-36.6%
Sep 2008Dec 20081222.0%+12.4%-37.6%
Jan 2009Jan 200921.5%+24.7%-37.6%
Feb 2009Mar 200958.5%+13.0%-38.0%
Mar 2009Jul 2009168.6%+18.5%-37.6%
Nov 2011Dec 201133.2%+12.6%-43.8%
Dec 2013Jan 201410.6%+38.8%-52.0%
Dec 2017Sep 202224789.1%-51.0%-68.5%
Sep 2022Oct 202210.1%+29.0%+33.8%
Jun 2025Sep 20251613.6%+25.4%+22.0%
Nov 2025Feb 2026116.6%N/A+5.8%
May 2026Jun 202642.0%N/A+2.6%
Jun 2026Ongoing1+0.5%OngoingN/A
Average23+8.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PCG below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, PG&E Corporation (PCG) is trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $16.57. The current price is $16.48.

What is PCG's 200-week moving average price?

PG&E Corporation's 200-week moving average is $16.57 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when PCG drops below its 200-week moving average?

PCG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.

Is PCG a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about PCG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.8%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does PCG compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in PCG would have grown to $129, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 0.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. PCG has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does PCG pay a dividend?

Yes. PG&E Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 119.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19