PCAR
PACCAR Inc. Industrials - Trucks Investor Relations →
PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) closed at $116.08 as of 2026-05-01, trading 31.9% above its 200-week moving average of $87.99. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 44.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.88 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, PCAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 9 weeks. Historically, investors who bought PCAR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.0%.
With a market cap of $61.1 billion, PCAR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 13.1%. The stock trades at 3.2x book value.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in PCAR would have grown to $9374, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.6% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming PCAR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: PCAR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After PCAR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying PCAR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +31.9% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 95% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +58.6% vs +35.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment PCAR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
PCAR has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +34.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 1 | 1.2% | +18.6% | +48712.2% |
| Mar 1982 | Apr 1982 | 5 | 5.7% | +59.3% | +43733.6% |
| May 1982 | Aug 1982 | 13 | 16.0% | +50.4% | +43733.6% |
| Sep 1982 | Oct 1982 | 3 | 1.6% | +63.0% | +43733.6% |
| Apr 1985 | May 1985 | 3 | 4.4% | +36.5% | +32184.6% |
| Jun 1985 | Jul 1985 | 1 | 2.2% | +38.8% | +32575.9% |
| Oct 1985 | Dec 1985 | 6 | 6.6% | +12.2% | +32775.2% |
| Dec 1985 | Jan 1986 | 2 | 0.3% | +7.5% | +30885.8% |
| Jul 1986 | Oct 1986 | 13 | 11.5% | +45.2% | +28886.7% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 0.7% | +12.5% | +28578.4% |
| Dec 1986 | Jan 1987 | 2 | 1.5% | +31.4% | +28731.7% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 1 | 4.3% | +74.7% | +27548.9% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 23 | 21.5% | +42.1% | +18044.7% |
| May 1994 | Jul 1994 | 7 | 6.6% | +3.9% | +10950.9% |
| Aug 1994 | Jul 1995 | 48 | 18.8% | +11.6% | +10864.8% |
| Aug 1995 | Sep 1995 | 4 | 3.9% | -4.3% | +10319.7% |
| Sep 1995 | Feb 1996 | 20 | 18.2% | +2.8% | +10372.6% |
| Feb 1996 | May 1996 | 12 | 6.7% | +38.5% | +10095.3% |
| Jun 1996 | Sep 1996 | 16 | 8.0% | +99.3% | +10307.7% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 3 | 5.1% | +25.0% | +5003.1% |
| Jul 2000 | Nov 2000 | 16 | 13.2% | +46.1% | +4972.5% |
| Dec 2000 | Dec 2000 | 1 | 2.7% | +56.7% | +4857.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2009 | 49 | 44.6% | +12.0% | +859.3% |
| Sep 2009 | Mar 2010 | 24 | 13.1% | +29.7% | +721.3% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.5% | +20.6% | +659.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.2% | +34.2% | +669.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 16.6% | +5.2% | +661.1% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 2 | 6.3% | +10.9% | +658.2% |
| Dec 2011 | Jan 2012 | 3 | 8.9% | +25.9% | +716.2% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 5.7% | +50.5% | +668.5% |
| Nov 2015 | Feb 2016 | 15 | 14.1% | +24.1% | +421.3% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 1.9% | +23.3% | +380.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 3 | 6.5% | +46.8% | +324.6% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 3 | 4.0% | +49.9% | +309.4% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 2 | 14.0% | +86.0% | +310.1% |
| Average | 9 | — | +34.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PCAR below its 200-week moving average?
No. PACCAR Inc. (PCAR) is currently 31.9% above its 200-week moving average of $87.99. It would need to fall to $87.99 to cross below the line.
What is PCAR's 200-week moving average price?
PACCAR Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $87.99 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when PCAR drops below its 200-week moving average?
PCAR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 9 weeks on average.
Is PCAR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about PCAR as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow yield is 2.4%. Return on equity is 13.1%. Price-to-book is 3.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does PCAR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in PCAR would have grown to $9374, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 14.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. PCAR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does PCAR pay a dividend?
Yes. PACCAR Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 121.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01